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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 4D · RANK-5 · 80% DEPTH

4-Deck Five-Pip Card Depletion at 80% Penetration (Super 6 Audit DEP233)

Removing 15 of 16 Five-Pip Card (Rank-5) cards at 80% penetration of a 4-deck (208-card) shoe leaves 1 Rank-5 cards inside a 42-card stub (DEP233), producing 45.8690% Banker wins, 44.5893% Player wins, 9.5417% Ties, and a 1.4133% Banker house edge under Super 6.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.4133%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2797%
Rank-5 in 42-Card Stub
1/16
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9390
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P B B P B P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPTBPPBBPBPBBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP233 (4D Rank-5 at 80% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP233)
42 / 208 Cards

80% penetration depth in 4D (four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes).

Rank-5 Remaining
1 of 16 Cards

15 5-pip cards (final mandatory Player draw threshold) removed from the 4D pack.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.4133%

Resolved at 45.8690% Banker win rate under Super 6 settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2797%

Resolved at 44.5893% Player win rate with 0.9390 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5417%

Produces a 14.1247% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP233.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP233

How Five-Pip Card Depletion at 80% Depth Impacts 4D (Super 6)

Across 7,673,190,695,193,600 initial 4D permutations, depletion node DEP233 narrows to a 42-card stub (80% depth) holding 1 of 16 Rank-5 cards, where Banker resolves at 45.8690% (-1.4133% EV) and Player at 44.5893% (-1.2797% EV).

Tracking DEP233 across 42 remaining 4D cards (80% depth) shows that fewer 5s in the (dep233-rank-5) stub reduce banker third-card improvements (42c) from 3 to 8 and (dep233-rank-5·42c) from 4 to 9. With 15 Rank-5 cards gone (-0.84 bps unit sensitivity), Banker expectation is -1.4133% (Super 6) vs -1.2797% on Player.

State DEP233 (4D, 80% depth, 1/16 Rank-5 left, Super 6)
Wager / MetricState DEP233 Value4D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP233 Banker (Super 6)45.8690% (-1.4133% EV)45.8732%DEP233 4D 80% (1 Rank-5)
DEP233 Player (1:1)44.5893% (-1.2797% EV)44.5850%DEP233 42-card 4D stub (0.9390 SD)
DEP233 Tie (8:1)9.5417% (-14.1247% EV)9.5418%DEP233 Rank-5 (15 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP233

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP233 · 4D)

Learners auditing DEP233 (4D at 80% depth, 1/16 Rank-5 in 42 stub cards) can verify that Super 6 house hold (1.4133% Banker, 1.2797% Player, 14.1247% Tie) operates independently of prior Big Road streaks.

  • DEP233 (4D 80%): 42/208 cards with 1/16 Rank-5 (1A).
  • DEP233 (Rank-5 split): 45.8690% Banker, 44.5893% Player, 9.5417% Tie in 42 4D cards (1B).
  • DEP233 (Super 6 EV): -1.4133% Banker, -1.2797% Player, -14.1247% Tie, 0.9390 SD at 80% (1C).
  • DEP233 (4D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Rank-5 stub count (1D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 15 Five-Pip Card cards leave a 4D shoe by 80% depth (DEP233), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-5 stub counts (1/16 in 42 cards); Banker carries a -1.4133% expectation under Super 6.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android