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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 4D · RANK-5 · 75% DEPTH

4-Deck Five-Pip Card Depletion at 75% Penetration (4% Audit DEP232)

Removing 14 of 16 Five-Pip Card (Rank-5) cards at 75% penetration of a 4-deck (208-card) shoe leaves 2 Rank-5 cards inside a 52-card stub (DEP232), producing 45.8694% Banker wins, 44.5889% Player wins, 9.5417% Ties, and a 0.5543% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5543%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2805%
Rank-5 in 52-Card Stub
2/16
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9385
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B P B P B B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPPBPBPBBPPBBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP232 (4D Rank-5 at 75% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP232)
52 / 208 Cards

75% penetration depth in 4D (four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes).

Rank-5 Remaining
2 of 16 Cards

14 5-pip cards (final mandatory Player draw threshold) removed from the 4D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5543%

Resolved at 45.8694% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2805%

Resolved at 44.5889% Player win rate with 0.9385 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5417%

Produces a 14.1246% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP232.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP232

How Five-Pip Card Depletion at 75% Depth Impacts 4D (4% Vig)

Within four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes, profile DEP232 examines 75% shoe depletion (52 of 208 cards remaining) after 14 Rank-5 cards exit, leaving 2 Five-Pip Card cards and a 0.5543% Banker house hold under 4%.

Why does Rank-5 carry a -0.84 bps per-card effect in DEP232? Because Player draws on (DEP232) two-card 5 and stands on (4D-75%) 6, while Banker 3, 4, (DEP232·4D-75%) and 5 all draw against a Player third-card 5, rank 5 favors Player when depleted, and at 75% penetration (2 Five-Pip Card cards left in 52 4D cards), three-quarters of the shoe (dep232-4d) has been dealt and winning (2/16) banker wagers return 0.96 units (dep232-4d·2/16) net per unit risked.

State DEP232 (4D, 75% depth, 2/16 Rank-5 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP232 Value4D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP232 Banker (4% Vig)45.8694% (-0.5543% EV)45.8732%DEP232 4D 75% (2 Rank-5)
DEP232 Player (1:1)44.5889% (-1.2805% EV)44.5850%DEP232 52-card 4D stub (0.9385 SD)
DEP232 Tie (8:1)9.5417% (-14.1246% EV)9.5418%DEP232 Rank-5 (14 out, 2 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP232

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP232 · 4D)

Synthesizing DEP232 (4D at 75% depth, 2 Five-Pip Card cards left inside 52 stub cards): 4% rules produce a 0.5543% Banker edge, 1.2805% Player edge, 14.1246% Tie edge, and 0.9385 unit volatility.

  • DEP232 (4D 75%): 52/208 cards with 2/16 Rank-5 (3A).
  • DEP232 (Rank-5 split): 45.8694% Banker, 44.5889% Player, 9.5417% Tie in 52 4D cards (3B).
  • DEP232 (4% Vig EV): -0.5543% Banker, -1.2805% Player, -14.1246% Tie, 0.9385 SD at 75% (3C).
  • DEP232 (4D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 2 Rank-5 stub count (3D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 14 Five-Pip Card cards leave a 4D shoe by 75% depth (DEP232), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-5 stub counts (2/16 in 52 cards); Banker carries a -0.5543% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android