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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 4D · RANK-4 · 80% DEPTH

4-Deck Four-Pip Card Depletion at 80% Penetration (Super 6 Audit DEP224)

Removing 15 of 16 Four-Pip Card (Rank-4) cards at 80% penetration of a 4-deck (208-card) shoe leaves 1 Rank-4 cards inside a 42-card stub (DEP224), producing 45.8791% Banker wins, 44.5789% Player wins, 9.5419% Ties, and a 1.3928% Banker house edge under Super 6.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.3928%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3002%
Rank-4 in 42-Card Stub
1/16
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9387
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B B P P B B P B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = =
Small Road = = = = = = ≠ = = = = =
Cockroach Pig = = = = = = ≠ = = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPPBBPPBBPBTBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP224 (4D Rank-4 at 80% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP224)
42 / 208 Cards

80% penetration depth in 4D (four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes).

Rank-4 Remaining
1 of 16 Cards

15 4-pip cards (strongest pro-Banker removal sensitivity) removed from the 4D pack.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.3928%

Resolved at 45.8791% Banker win rate under Super 6 settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3002%

Resolved at 44.5789% Player win rate with 0.9387 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5419%

Produces a 14.1229% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP224.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP224

How Four-Pip Card Depletion at 80% Depth Impacts 4D (Super 6)

Quantitative proof DEP224 documents 4D rank depletion at 80% depth: 15 exited Rank-4 cards leave 1 of 16 in the 42-card stub, generating 45.8791% Banker wins (-1.3928% EV under Super 6) and 44.5789% Player wins.

Mechanical draw trees in DEP224 reflect how removing 4s produces the (dep224-rank-4) single largest per-card shift toward (42c) banker (and away from player) (dep224-rank-4·42c) of any rank in the shoe. At 80% 4D depth (1 Rank-4 left of 16 in 42 cards, +1.19 bps slope), only 20% of the (dep224-4d) initial shoe remains undealt while (1/16) winning banker 6 hands forfeit (dep224-4d·1/16) half their payout.

State DEP224 (4D, 80% depth, 1/16 Rank-4 left, Super 6)
Wager / MetricState DEP224 Value4D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP224 Banker (Super 6)45.8791% (-1.3928% EV)45.8732%DEP224 4D 80% (1 Rank-4)
DEP224 Player (1:1)44.5789% (-1.3002% EV)44.5850%DEP224 42-card 4D stub (0.9387 SD)
DEP224 Tie (8:1)9.5419% (-14.1229% EV)9.5418%DEP224 Rank-4 (15 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP224

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP224 · 4D)

Comparing DEP224 (80% 4D depth, 15 Rank-4 removed, 1 remaining in 42 cards) against fresh-shoe baselines shows how finite-stub variance (0.9387 SD) coexists with a 1.3928% Super 6 Banker house edge.

  • DEP224 (4D 80%): 42/208 cards with 1/16 Rank-4 (5A).
  • DEP224 (Rank-4 split): 45.8791% Banker, 44.5789% Player, 9.5419% Tie in 42 4D cards (5B).
  • DEP224 (Super 6 EV): -1.3928% Banker, -1.3002% Player, -14.1229% Tie, 0.9387 SD at 80% (5C).
  • DEP224 (4D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Rank-4 stub count (5D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 15 Four-Pip Card cards leave a 4D shoe by 80% depth (DEP224), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-4 stub counts (1/16 in 42 cards); Banker carries a -1.3928% expectation under Super 6.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android