Removing 14 of 16 Four-Pip Card (Rank-4) cards at 75% penetration of a 4-deck (208-card) shoe leaves 2 Rank-4 cards inside a 52-card stub (DEP223), producing 45.8786% Banker wins, 44.5795% Player wins, 9.5419% Ties, and a 0.5360% Banker house edge under 4%.
Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBBPPBBPPBPTBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP223 (4D Rank-4 at 75% depth).
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
75% penetration depth in 4D (four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes).
14 4-pip cards (strongest pro-Banker removal sensitivity) removed from the 4D pack.
Resolved at 45.8786% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.
Resolved at 44.5795% Player win rate with 0.9382 unit standard deviation.
Produces a 14.1230% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP223.
Shoe-stub analysis DEP223 inspects 52 remaining cards at 75% penetration of a 208-card (4D) pack after 14 Four-Pip Card cards have cleared, leaving 2 Rank-4 cards and a 0.5360% 4% Banker edge.
For DEP223 (4-deck shoe, 75% dealt), rank 4 sits at (dep223) the exact pivot where banker (4d-75%) 5 begins drawing (player third (dep223·4d-75%) card 4–7) while banker 3 and 4 also draw. Holding 2 of 16 Rank-4 cards in a 52-card stub with +1.19 bps rank slope yields 45.8786% Banker, 44.5795% Player, and 9.5419% Tie.
| Wager / Metric | State DEP223 Value | 4D Baseline | Settlement Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEP223 Banker (4% Vig) | 45.8786% (-0.5360% EV) | 45.8732% | DEP223 4D 75% (2 Rank-4) |
| DEP223 Player (1:1) | 44.5795% (-1.2991% EV) | 44.5850% | DEP223 52-card 4D stub (0.9382 SD) |
| DEP223 Tie (8:1) | 9.5419% (-14.1230% EV) | 9.5418% | DEP223 Rank-4 (14 out, 2 in) |
Even at 75% penetration in DEP223 where 14 Rank-4 cards have exited a 4D shoe (2 left in 52 cards), derived-road red and blue entries measure structural regularity on the Big Road—not whether Banker (-0.5360% EV, 4% Vig) or Player (-1.2991% EV) is favored next.
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About 64 minutes of lessons covering outcomes, the Bead Plate, Big Road columns, and dragon tails.
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