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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 4D · RANK-3 · 75% DEPTH

4-Deck Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 75% Penetration (4% Audit DEP214)

Removing 14 of 16 Three-Pip (Trey) (Rank-3) cards at 75% penetration of a 4-deck (208-card) shoe leaves 2 Rank-3 cards inside a 52-card stub (DEP214), producing 45.8762% Banker wins, 44.5820% Player wins, 9.5419% Ties, and a 0.5408% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5408%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2942%
Rank-3 in 52-Card Stub
2/16
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9379
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBBPPPBBPBTBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP214 (4D Rank-3 at 75% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 2 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP214)
52 / 208 Cards

75% penetration depth in 4D (four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes).

Rank-3 Remaining
2 of 16 Cards

14 3-pip cards across all four suits removed from the 4D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5408%

Resolved at 45.8762% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2942%

Resolved at 44.5820% Player win rate with 0.9379 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5419%

Produces a 14.1230% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP214.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP214

How Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 75% Depth Impacts 4D (4% Vig)

Finite-shoe specification DEP214 tracks Rank-3 removal at 75% depth in 4-deck play: with 2 of 16 Three-Pip (Trey) cards left in the 52-card stub, Tie incidence is 9.5419% and Banker expectation settles at -0.5408% (4% Vig).

Because each removed 3-pip card (dep214-rank-3) modifies the boundary between banker (52c) standing on 5 and drawing (dep214-rank-3·52c) against mid-range player pulls, state DEP214 (75% 4D depth, 14 Rank-3 removed, 2 in 52 cards) registers a +0.65 bps rank derivative and 0.5408% Banker house edge (4% Vig).

State DEP214 (4D, 75% depth, 2/16 Rank-3 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP214 Value4D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP214 Banker (4% Vig)45.8762% (-0.5408% EV)45.8732%DEP214 4D 75% (2 Rank-3)
DEP214 Player (1:1)44.5820% (-1.2942% EV)44.5850%DEP214 52-card 4D stub (0.9379 SD)
DEP214 Tie (8:1)9.5419% (-14.1230% EV)9.5418%DEP214 Rank-3 (14 out, 2 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP214

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP214 · 4D)

In DEP214, the 52-card 4D stub (75% penetration, 14 of 16 Rank-3 dealt) yields 45.8762% Banker, 44.5820% Player, and 9.5419% Tie outcomes with 0.9379 dispersion under 4% Vig.

  • DEP214 (4D 75%): 52/208 cards with 2/16 Rank-3 (4A).
  • DEP214 (Rank-3 split): 45.8762% Banker, 44.5820% Player, 9.5419% Tie in 52 4D cards (4B).
  • DEP214 (4% Vig EV): -0.5408% Banker, -1.2942% Player, -14.1230% Tie, 0.9379 SD at 75% (4C).
  • DEP214 (4D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 2 Rank-3 stub count (4D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 14 Three-Pip (Trey) cards leave a 4D shoe by 75% depth (DEP214), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-3 stub counts (2/16 in 52 cards); Banker carries a -0.5408% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android