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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 4D · RANK-3 · 50% DEPTH

4-Deck Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 50% Penetration (Super 6 Audit DEP211)

Removing 9 of 16 Three-Pip (Trey) (Rank-3) cards at 50% penetration of a 4-deck (208-card) shoe leaves 7 Rank-3 cards inside a 104-card stub (DEP211), producing 45.8749% Banker wins, 44.5833% Player wins, 9.5419% Ties, and a 1.4014% Banker house edge under Super 6.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.4014%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2916%
Rank-3 in 104-Card Stub
7/16
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9354
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P B B P P B P B P B B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPBPBBPPBPBPBB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP211 (4D Rank-3 at 50% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP211)
104 / 208 Cards

50% penetration depth in 4D (four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes).

Rank-3 Remaining
7 of 16 Cards

9 3-pip cards across all four suits removed from the 4D pack.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.4014%

Resolved at 45.8749% Banker win rate under Super 6 settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2916%

Resolved at 44.5833% Player win rate with 0.9354 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5419%

Produces a 14.1233% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP211.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP211

How Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 50% Depth Impacts 4D (Super 6)

Audit DEP211 evaluates a 4-deck (208-card) shoe at 50% penetration where 9 of 16 Three-Pip (Trey) cards have exited, leaving 7 Rank-3 cards inside the 104-card stub with Banker EV at -1.4014% under Super 6.

Combinatorial weighting in DEP211 (104 cards left from 208 at 50% depth) is governed by two rules: banker total 4 draws (dep211) on player third-card 3, and (4d-50%) banker total 5 stands on (dep211·4d-50%) player third-card 3, creating asymmetric sensitivity, and banker wins on totals (dep211-4d) 1–5 and 7–9 pay 1:1 (7/16) while any winning 2-card or (dep211-4d·7/16) 3-card banker 6 pays 50 cents on the dollar (+0.65 bps per Rank-3 removed).

State DEP211 (4D, 50% depth, 7/16 Rank-3 left, Super 6)
Wager / MetricState DEP211 Value4D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP211 Banker (Super 6)45.8749% (-1.4014% EV)45.8732%DEP211 4D 50% (7 Rank-3)
DEP211 Player (1:1)44.5833% (-1.2916% EV)44.5850%DEP211 104-card 4D stub (0.9354 SD)
DEP211 Tie (8:1)9.5419% (-14.1233% EV)9.5418%DEP211 Rank-3 (9 out, 7 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP211

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP211 · 4D)

Cut-card protocol at 50% depth in DEP211 (4D, 104 stub cards containing 7 Rank-3 cards) ensures the shoe reshuffles long before Super 6 house hold (1.4014% Banker / 1.2916% Player) is overturned.

  • DEP211 (4D 50%): 104/208 cards with 7/16 Rank-3 (3A).
  • DEP211 (Rank-3 split): 45.8749% Banker, 44.5833% Player, 9.5419% Tie in 104 4D cards (3B).
  • DEP211 (Super 6 EV): -1.4014% Banker, -1.2916% Player, -14.1233% Tie, 0.9354 SD at 50% (3C).
  • DEP211 (4D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 7 Rank-3 stub count (3D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 9 Three-Pip (Trey) cards leave a 4D shoe by 50% depth (DEP211), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-3 stub counts (7/16 in 104 cards); Banker carries a -1.4014% expectation under Super 6.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android