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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 4D · ACE-1 · 60% DEPTH

4-Deck Ace (1-Point Pip) Depletion at 60% Penetration (EZ Baccarat Audit DEP194)

Removing 11 of 16 Ace (1-Point Pip) (Ace-1) cards at 60% penetration of a 4-deck (208-card) shoe leaves 5 Ace-1 cards inside a 83-card stub (DEP194), producing 45.8747% Banker wins, 44.5835% Player wins, 9.5418% Ties, and a 0.9623% Banker house edge under EZ Baccarat.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.9623%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2911%
Ace-1 in 83-Card Stub
5/16
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9358
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B B P P B B P B P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = =
Small Road = = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPPBBPPBBPBPBBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP194 (4D Ace-1 at 60% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP194)
83 / 208 Cards

60% penetration depth in 4D (four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes).

Ace-1 Remaining
5 of 16 Cards

11 Ace cards valued at 1 modulo-10 point removed from the 4D pack.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.9623%

Resolved at 45.8747% Banker win rate under EZ Baccarat settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2911%

Resolved at 44.5835% Player win rate with 0.9358 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5418%

Produces a 14.1235% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP194.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP194

How Ace (1-Point Pip) Depletion at 60% Depth Impacts 4D (EZ Bar-7)

Exact conditional enumeration DEP194 for a 4D shoe at 60% depth (83/208 cards undealt) with 5 remaining Ace-1 cards confirms a 0.9623% Banker edge (EZ Bar-7), 1.2911% Player edge, and 14.1235% Tie edge.

Combinatorial weighting in DEP194 (83 cards left from 208 at 60% depth) is governed by two rules: removing aces slightly favors (dep194) banker because banker stands on (4d-60%) 6 against player third-card ace (dep194·4d-60%) while player must draw on 0–5, and banker wins pay 1:1 (dep194-4d) with zero commission except when (5/16) banker wins with a three-card (dep194-4d·5/16) total of 7, which pushes (+0.44 bps per Ace-1 removed).

State DEP194 (4D, 60% depth, 5/16 Ace-1 left, EZ Bar-7)
Wager / MetricState DEP194 Value4D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP194 Banker (EZ Bar-7)45.8747% (-0.9623% EV)45.8732%DEP194 4D 60% (5 Ace-1)
DEP194 Player (1:1)44.5835% (-1.2911% EV)44.5850%DEP194 83-card 4D stub (0.9358 SD)
DEP194 Tie (8:1)9.5418% (-14.1235% EV)9.5418%DEP194 Ace-1 (11 out, 5 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP194

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP194 · 4D)

Learners auditing DEP194 (4D at 60% depth, 5/16 Ace-1 in 83 stub cards) can verify that EZ Baccarat house hold (0.9623% Banker, 1.2911% Player, 14.1235% Tie) operates independently of prior Big Road streaks.

  • DEP194 (4D 60%): 83/208 cards with 5/16 Ace-1 (2A).
  • DEP194 (Ace-1 split): 45.8747% Banker, 44.5835% Player, 9.5418% Tie in 83 4D cards (2B).
  • DEP194 (EZ Bar-7 EV): -0.9623% Banker, -1.2911% Player, -14.1235% Tie, 0.9358 SD at 60% (2C).
  • DEP194 (4D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 5 Ace-1 stub count (2D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 11 Ace (1-Point Pip) cards leave a 4D shoe by 60% depth (DEP194), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Ace-1 stub counts (5/16 in 83 cards); Banker carries a -0.9623% expectation under EZ Baccarat.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android