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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 4D · ACE-1 · 50% DEPTH

4-Deck Ace (1-Point Pip) Depletion at 50% Penetration (Super 6 Audit DEP193)

Removing 9 of 16 Ace (1-Point Pip) (Ace-1) cards at 50% penetration of a 4-deck (208-card) shoe leaves 7 Ace-1 cards inside a 104-card stub (DEP193), producing 45.8743% Banker wins, 44.5839% Player wins, 9.5418% Ties, and a 1.4025% Banker house edge under Super 6.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.4025%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2905%
Ace-1 in 104-Card Stub
7/16
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9348
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P B B P B B P B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ =
Small Road = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBBPPBPTBPBBPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP193 (4D Ace-1 at 50% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP193)
104 / 208 Cards

50% penetration depth in 4D (four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes).

Ace-1 Remaining
7 of 16 Cards

9 Ace cards valued at 1 modulo-10 point removed from the 4D pack.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.4025%

Resolved at 45.8743% Banker win rate under Super 6 settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2905%

Resolved at 44.5839% Player win rate with 0.9348 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5418%

Produces a 14.1236% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP193.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP193

How Ace (1-Point Pip) Depletion at 50% Depth Impacts 4D (Super 6)

Removing 9 of 16 Ace-1 cards by the 50% mark of a 4-deck shoe (DEP193, 104 cards left) leaves 7 Ace (1-Point Pip) cards and adjusts conditional probabilities to 45.8743% Banker, 44.5839% Player, and 9.5418% Tie under Super 6.

Mechanical draw trees in DEP193 reflect how when fewer aces remain, (dep193-ace-1) player 7 and 8 third-card (104c) transitions from 6 and 7 (dep193-ace-1·104c) occur less often during six-card resolutions. At 50% 4D depth (7 Ace-1 left of 16 in 104 cards, +0.44 bps slope), banker wins on totals (dep193-4d) 1–5 and 7–9 pay 1:1 (7/16) while any winning 2-card or (dep193-4d·7/16) 3-card banker 6 pays 50 cents on the dollar.

State DEP193 (4D, 50% depth, 7/16 Ace-1 left, Super 6)
Wager / MetricState DEP193 Value4D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP193 Banker (Super 6)45.8743% (-1.4025% EV)45.8732%DEP193 4D 50% (7 Ace-1)
DEP193 Player (1:1)44.5839% (-1.2905% EV)44.5850%DEP193 104-card 4D stub (0.9348 SD)
DEP193 Tie (8:1)9.5418% (-14.1236% EV)9.5418%DEP193 Ace-1 (9 out, 7 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP193

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP193 · 4D)

Synthesizing DEP193 (4D at 50% depth, 7 Ace (1-Point Pip) cards left inside 104 stub cards): Super 6 rules produce a 1.4025% Banker edge, 1.2905% Player edge, 14.1236% Tie edge, and 0.9348 unit volatility.

  • DEP193 (4D 50%): 104/208 cards with 7/16 Ace-1 (4A).
  • DEP193 (Ace-1 split): 45.8743% Banker, 44.5839% Player, 9.5418% Tie in 104 4D cards (4B).
  • DEP193 (Super 6 EV): -1.4025% Banker, -1.2905% Player, -14.1236% Tie, 0.9348 SD at 50% (4C).
  • DEP193 (4D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 7 Ace-1 stub count (4D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 9 Ace (1-Point Pip) cards leave a 4D shoe by 50% depth (DEP193), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Ace-1 stub counts (7/16 in 104 cards); Banker carries a -1.4025% expectation under Super 6.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android