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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 4D · RANK-0 · 70% DEPTH

4-Deck 0-Value Tens & Faces Depletion at 70% Penetration (5% Audit DEP186)

Removing 52 of 64 0-Value Tens & Faces (Rank-0) cards at 70% penetration of a 4-deck (208-card) shoe leaves 12 Rank-0 cards inside a 62-card stub (DEP186), producing 45.8762% Banker wins, 44.5819% Player wins, 9.5420% Ties, and a 0.9995% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.9995%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2943%
Rank-0 in 62-Card Stub
12/64
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9365
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBTBPPBBPBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP186 (4D Rank-0 at 70% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP186)
62 / 208 Cards

70% penetration depth in 4D (four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes).

Rank-0 Remaining
12 of 64 Cards

52 10, Jack, Queen, and King (zero-point cards) removed from the 4D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.9995%

Resolved at 45.8762% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2943%

Resolved at 44.5819% Player win rate with 0.9365 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5420%

Produces a 14.1223% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP186.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP186

How 0-Value Tens & Faces Depletion at 70% Depth Impacts 4D (5% Vig)

Finite-shoe specification DEP186 tracks Rank-0 removal at 70% depth in 4-deck play: with 12 of 64 0-Value Tens & Faces cards left in the 62-card stub, Tie incidence is 9.5420% and Banker expectation settles at -0.9995% (5% Vig).

Depleting zero-point cards reduces (DEP186) modulo-10 standoffs and alters two-card (4D-70%) natural combinations paired with 8s (DEP186·4D-70%) and 9s. In state DEP186 (4D, 70% depth), each removed Rank-0 card applies a +0.18 bps baseline directional pressure before scaling to the 62-card remainder (12 Rank-0 left), while With 70% of cards (DEP186-4D) dealt and 30% remaining ahead (12/64) of the cut card, winning (DEP186-4D·12/64) Banker bets pay 0.95 to 1.

State DEP186 (4D, 70% depth, 12/64 Rank-0 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP186 Value4D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP186 Banker (5% Vig)45.8762% (-0.9995% EV)45.8732%DEP186 4D 70% (12 Rank-0)
DEP186 Player (1:1)44.5819% (-1.2943% EV)44.5850%DEP186 62-card 4D stub (0.9365 SD)
DEP186 Tie (8:1)9.5420% (-14.1223% EV)9.5418%DEP186 Rank-0 (52 out, 12 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP186

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP186 · 4D)

Comparing DEP186 (70% 4D depth, 52 Rank-0 removed, 12 remaining in 62 cards) against fresh-shoe baselines shows how finite-stub variance (0.9365 SD) coexists with a 0.9995% 5% Banker house edge.

  • DEP186 (4D 70%): 62/208 cards with 12/64 Rank-0 (4A).
  • DEP186 (Rank-0 split): 45.8762% Banker, 44.5819% Player, 9.5420% Tie in 62 4D cards (4B).
  • DEP186 (5% Vig EV): -0.9995% Banker, -1.2943% Player, -14.1223% Tie, 0.9365 SD at 70% (4C).
  • DEP186 (4D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 12 Rank-0 stub count (4D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 52 0-Value Tens & Faces cards leave a 4D shoe by 70% depth (DEP186), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-0 stub counts (12/64 in 62 cards); Banker carries a -0.9995% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android