Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Combinatorial Math Hub
  3. 4D Rank-0 Depletion at 40% Depth (4% Vig)
COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 4D · RANK-0 · 40% DEPTH

4-Deck 0-Value Tens & Faces Depletion at 40% Penetration (4% Audit DEP183)

Removing 29 of 64 0-Value Tens & Faces (Rank-0) cards at 40% penetration of a 4-deck (208-card) shoe leaves 35 Rank-0 cards inside a 125-card stub (DEP183), producing 45.8746% Banker wins, 44.5835% Player wins, 9.5419% Ties, and a 0.5439% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5439%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2911%
Rank-0 in 125-Card Stub
35/64
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9335
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P B P B P P B B P P B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBBPBPBPPBBPPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP183 (4D Rank-0 at 40% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP183)
125 / 208 Cards

40% penetration depth in 4D (four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes).

Rank-0 Remaining
35 of 64 Cards

29 10, Jack, Queen, and King (zero-point cards) removed from the 4D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5439%

Resolved at 45.8746% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2911%

Resolved at 44.5835% Player win rate with 0.9335 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5419%

Produces a 14.1231% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP183.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP183

How 0-Value Tens & Faces Depletion at 40% Depth Impacts 4D (4% Vig)

Audit DEP183 evaluates a 4-deck (208-card) shoe at 40% penetration where 29 of 64 0-Value Tens & Faces cards have exited, leaving 35 Rank-0 cards inside the 125-card stub with Banker EV at -0.5439% under 4%.

Because fewer zero-value draws mean (dep183-rank-0) third-card pulls change running totals (125c) more frequently instead of leaving (dep183-rank-0·125c) totals unchanged, state DEP183 (40% 4D depth, 29 Rank-0 removed, 35 in 125 cards) registers a +0.18 bps rank derivative and 0.5439% Banker house edge (4% Vig).

State DEP183 (4D, 40% depth, 35/64 Rank-0 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP183 Value4D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP183 Banker (4% Vig)45.8746% (-0.5439% EV)45.8732%DEP183 4D 40% (35 Rank-0)
DEP183 Player (1:1)44.5835% (-1.2911% EV)44.5850%DEP183 125-card 4D stub (0.9335 SD)
DEP183 Tie (8:1)9.5419% (-14.1231% EV)9.5418%DEP183 Rank-0 (29 out, 35 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP183

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP183 · 4D)

In studio and floor audits of DEP183 (125 cards undealt out of 208 in 4D at 40% depth), a 0.9335 unit standard deviation accompanies the 35-card Rank-0 stub under 4% Vig (45.8746% Banker vs 44.5835% Player).

  • DEP183 (4D 40%): 125/208 cards with 35/64 Rank-0 (3A).
  • DEP183 (Rank-0 split): 45.8746% Banker, 44.5835% Player, 9.5419% Tie in 125 4D cards (3B).
  • DEP183 (4% Vig EV): -0.5439% Banker, -1.2911% Player, -14.1231% Tie, 0.9335 SD at 40% (3C).
  • DEP183 (4D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 35 Rank-0 stub count (3D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 29 0-Value Tens & Faces cards leave a 4D shoe by 40% depth (DEP183), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-0 stub counts (35/64 in 125 cards); Banker carries a -0.5439% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android