Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Combinatorial Math Hub
  3. 4D Rank-0 Depletion at 25% Depth (5% Vig)
COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 4D · RANK-0 · 25% DEPTH

4-Deck 0-Value Tens & Faces Depletion at 25% Penetration (5% Audit DEP182)

Removing 18 of 64 0-Value Tens & Faces (Rank-0) cards at 25% penetration of a 4-deck (208-card) shoe leaves 46 Rank-0 cards inside a 156-card stub (DEP182), producing 45.8740% Banker wins, 44.5842% Player wins, 9.5418% Ties, and a 1.0039% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0039%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.2898%
Rank-0 in 156-Card Stub
46/64
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9320
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBBPPPBBPBTBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP182 (4D Rank-0 at 25% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 2 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP182)
156 / 208 Cards

25% penetration depth in 4D (four-deck Asian VIP salons and compact automatic shuffler shoes).

Rank-0 Remaining
46 of 64 Cards

18 10, Jack, Queen, and King (zero-point cards) removed from the 4D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-1.0039%

Resolved at 45.8740% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.2898%

Resolved at 44.5842% Player win rate with 0.9320 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5418%

Produces a 14.1234% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP182.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP182

How 0-Value Tens & Faces Depletion at 25% Depth Impacts 4D (5% Vig)

Quantitative proof DEP182 documents 4D rank depletion at 25% depth: 18 exited Rank-0 cards leave 46 of 64 in the 156-card stub, generating 45.8740% Banker wins (-1.0039% EV under 5% Vig) and 44.5842% Player wins.

Mechanical draw trees in DEP182 reflect how fewer zero-value draws mean (dep182-rank-0) third-card pulls change running totals (156c) more frequently instead of leaving (dep182-rank-0·156c) totals unchanged. At 25% 4D depth (46 Rank-0 left of 64 in 156 cards, +0.18 bps slope), one-quarter of the shoe (dep182-4d) has exited the carrier and (46/64) winning banker wagers pay 0.95 (dep182-4d·46/64) to 1 after 5% house tax.

State DEP182 (4D, 25% depth, 46/64 Rank-0 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP182 Value4D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP182 Banker (5% Vig)45.8740% (-1.0039% EV)45.8732%DEP182 4D 25% (46 Rank-0)
DEP182 Player (1:1)44.5842% (-1.2898% EV)44.5850%DEP182 156-card 4D stub (0.9320 SD)
DEP182 Tie (8:1)9.5418% (-14.1234% EV)9.5418%DEP182 Rank-0 (18 out, 46 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP182

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP182 · 4D)

In studio and floor audits of DEP182 (156 cards undealt out of 208 in 4D at 25% depth), a 0.9320 unit standard deviation accompanies the 46-card Rank-0 stub under 5% Vig (45.8740% Banker vs 44.5842% Player).

  • DEP182 (4D 25%): 156/208 cards with 46/64 Rank-0 (5A).
  • DEP182 (Rank-0 split): 45.8740% Banker, 44.5842% Player, 9.5418% Tie in 156 4D cards (5B).
  • DEP182 (5% Vig EV): -1.0039% Banker, -1.2898% Player, -14.1234% Tie, 0.9320 SD at 25% (5C).
  • DEP182 (4D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 46 Rank-0 stub count (5D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 18 0-Value Tens & Faces cards leave a 4D shoe by 25% depth (DEP182), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-0 stub counts (46/64 in 156 cards); Banker carries a -1.0039% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android