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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · RANK-8 · 85% DEPTH

2-Deck Eight-Pip Card Depletion at 85% Penetration (EZ Baccarat Audit DEP171)

Removing 7 of 8 Eight-Pip Card (Rank-8) cards at 85% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 1 Rank-8 cards inside a 16-card stub (DEP171), producing 45.8974% Banker wins, 44.5701% Player wins, 9.5325% Ties, and a 0.9261% Banker house edge under EZ Baccarat.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.9261%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3273%
Rank-8 in 16-Card Stub
1/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9404
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B B B P P P P B B P P B P
Big Eye Boy = = = ≠ = ≠ = = = = = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBBBBPPPPBBPPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP171 (2D Rank-8 at 85% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP171)
16 / 104 Cards

85% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Rank-8 Remaining
1 of 8 Cards

7 8-pip cards (Natural 8 generator and Banker 3 block) removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.9261%

Resolved at 45.8974% Banker win rate under EZ Baccarat settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3273%

Resolved at 44.5701% Player win rate with 0.9404 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5325%

Produces a 14.2075% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP171.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP171

How Eight-Pip Card Depletion at 85% Depth Impacts 2D (EZ Bar-7)

When a 2D shoe reaches 85% cut-card depth (16 of 104 cards undealt, state DEP171) with 7 Eight-Pip Card cards removed and 1 remaining, Player wins 44.5701% (1.3273% edge) while Banker wins 45.8974% (0.9261% edge under EZ Baccarat).

Tableau audit DEP171 confirms that on banker total 3, (dep171) banker draws against every player (2d-85%) third card except 8; removing (dep171·2d-85%) 8s eliminates banker 3's sole standing exception. Inside the 16-card 2D stub (85% depth, 1/8 Rank-8 remaining, -0.50 bps slope), standard deviation is 0.9404 under EZ Bar-7.

State DEP171 (2D, 85% depth, 1/8 Rank-8 left, EZ Bar-7)
Wager / MetricState DEP171 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP171 Banker (EZ Bar-7)45.8974% (-0.9261% EV)45.8998%DEP171 2D 85% (1 Rank-8)
DEP171 Player (1:1)44.5701% (-1.3273% EV)44.5676%DEP171 16-card 2D stub (0.9404 SD)
DEP171 Tie (8:1)9.5325% (-14.2075% EV)9.5326%DEP171 Rank-8 (7 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP171

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP171 · 2D)

Comparing DEP171 (85% 2D depth, 7 Rank-8 removed, 1 remaining in 16 cards) against fresh-shoe baselines shows how finite-stub variance (0.9404 SD) coexists with a 0.9261% EZ Baccarat Banker house edge.

  • DEP171 (2D 85%): 16/104 cards with 1/8 Rank-8 (6A).
  • DEP171 (Rank-8 split): 45.8974% Banker, 44.5701% Player, 9.5325% Tie in 16 2D cards (6B).
  • DEP171 (EZ Bar-7 EV): -0.9261% Banker, -1.3273% Player, -14.2075% Tie, 0.9404 SD at 85% (6C).
  • DEP171 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Rank-8 stub count (6D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 7 Eight-Pip Card cards leave a 2D shoe by 85% depth (DEP171), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-8 stub counts (1/8 in 16 cards); Banker carries a -0.9261% expectation under EZ Baccarat.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android