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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · RANK-8 · 50% DEPTH

2-Deck Eight-Pip Card Depletion at 50% Penetration (Super 6 Audit DEP166)

Removing 5 of 8 Eight-Pip Card (Rank-8) cards at 50% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 3 Rank-8 cards inside a 52-card stub (DEP166), producing 45.8984% Banker wins, 44.5691% Player wins, 9.5325% Ties, and a 1.3637% Banker house edge under Super 6.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.3637%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3293%
Rank-8 in 52-Card Stub
3/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9369
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBBPPPBBPBTBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP166 (2D Rank-8 at 50% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 2 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP166)
52 / 104 Cards

50% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Rank-8 Remaining
3 of 8 Cards

5 8-pip cards (Natural 8 generator and Banker 3 block) removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.3637%

Resolved at 45.8984% Banker win rate under Super 6 settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3293%

Resolved at 44.5691% Player win rate with 0.9369 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5325%

Produces a 14.2071% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP166.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP166

How Eight-Pip Card Depletion at 50% Depth Impacts 2D (Super 6)

Exact conditional enumeration DEP166 for a 2D shoe at 50% depth (52/104 cards undealt) with 3 remaining Rank-8 cards confirms a 1.3637% Banker edge (Super 6), 1.3293% Player edge, and 14.2071% Tie edge.

Under the fixed third-card tableau for DEP166, on banker total 3, (dep166) banker draws against every player (2d-50%) third card except 8; removing (dep166·2d-50%) 8s eliminates banker 3's sole standing exception. With 3 Rank-8 cards inside 52 remaining 2D cards (50% dealt), single-card slope (-0.50 bps) keeps Banker house edge at 1.3637% and Player at 1.3293%.

State DEP166 (2D, 50% depth, 3/8 Rank-8 left, Super 6)
Wager / MetricState DEP166 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP166 Banker (Super 6)45.8984% (-1.3637% EV)45.8998%DEP166 2D 50% (3 Rank-8)
DEP166 Player (1:1)44.5691% (-1.3293% EV)44.5676%DEP166 52-card 2D stub (0.9369 SD)
DEP166 Tie (8:1)9.5325% (-14.2071% EV)9.5326%DEP166 Rank-8 (5 out, 3 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP166

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP166 · 2D)

On the electronic scoreboard for DEP166 (2D, 50% depth, 52 cards left), Bead Plate and Big Road circles record Banker (45.8984%) and Player (44.5691%) outcomes, whereas Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig marks reflect column symmetry rather than Rank-8 card counts (3/8).

  • DEP166 (2D 50%): 52/104 cards with 3/8 Rank-8 (2A).
  • DEP166 (Rank-8 split): 45.8984% Banker, 44.5691% Player, 9.5325% Tie in 52 2D cards (2B).
  • DEP166 (Super 6 EV): -1.3637% Banker, -1.3293% Player, -14.2071% Tie, 0.9369 SD at 50% (2C).
  • DEP166 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 3 Rank-8 stub count (2D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 5 Eight-Pip Card cards leave a 2D shoe by 50% depth (DEP166), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-8 stub counts (3/8 in 52 cards); Banker carries a -1.3637% expectation under Super 6.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android