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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · RANK-8 · 25% DEPTH

2-Deck Eight-Pip Card Depletion at 25% Penetration (5% Audit DEP164)

Removing 2 of 8 Eight-Pip Card (Rank-8) cards at 25% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 6 Rank-8 cards inside a 78-card stub (DEP164), producing 45.8993% Banker wins, 44.5681% Player wins, 9.5326% Ties, and a 0.9638% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.9638%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3312%
Rank-8 in 78-Card Stub
6/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9344
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P B P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBPBPPBBPBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP164 (2D Rank-8 at 25% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP164)
78 / 104 Cards

25% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Rank-8 Remaining
6 of 8 Cards

2 8-pip cards (Natural 8 generator and Banker 3 block) removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.9638%

Resolved at 45.8993% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3312%

Resolved at 44.5681% Player win rate with 0.9344 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5326%

Produces a 14.2068% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP164.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP164

How Eight-Pip Card Depletion at 25% Depth Impacts 2D (5% Vig)

Depletion matrix entry DEP164 pairs 2D (104 cards) at 25% penetration with 2 removed Eight-Pip Card cards (6 left in 78 cards), fixing per-hand volatility at 0.9344 and Banker house hold at 0.9638% (5% Vig).

On Banker total 3, (DEP164) Banker draws against every Player (2D-25%) third card except 8; removing (DEP164·2D-25%) 8s eliminates Banker 3's sole standing exception. In state DEP164 (2D, 25% depth), each removed Rank-8 card applies a -0.50 bps baseline directional pressure before scaling to the 78-card remainder (6 Rank-8 left), while One-quarter of the shoe (DEP164-2D) has exited the carrier and (6/8) winning Banker wagers pay 0.95 (DEP164-2D·6/8) to 1 after 5% house tax.

State DEP164 (2D, 25% depth, 6/8 Rank-8 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP164 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP164 Banker (5% Vig)45.8993% (-0.9638% EV)45.8998%DEP164 2D 25% (6 Rank-8)
DEP164 Player (1:1)44.5681% (-1.3312% EV)44.5676%DEP164 78-card 2D stub (0.9344 SD)
DEP164 Tie (8:1)9.5326% (-14.2068% EV)9.5326%DEP164 Rank-8 (2 out, 6 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP164

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP164 · 2D)

Learners auditing DEP164 (2D at 25% depth, 6/8 Rank-8 in 78 stub cards) can verify that 5% house hold (0.9638% Banker, 1.3312% Player, 14.2068% Tie) operates independently of prior Big Road streaks.

  • DEP164 (2D 25%): 78/104 cards with 6/8 Rank-8 (6A).
  • DEP164 (Rank-8 split): 45.8993% Banker, 44.5681% Player, 9.5326% Tie in 78 2D cards (6B).
  • DEP164 (5% Vig EV): -0.9638% Banker, -1.3312% Player, -14.2068% Tie, 0.9344 SD at 25% (6C).
  • DEP164 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 6 Rank-8 stub count (6D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 2 Eight-Pip Card cards leave a 2D shoe by 25% depth (DEP164), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-8 stub counts (6/8 in 78 cards); Banker carries a -0.9638% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android