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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · RANK-7 · 70% DEPTH

2-Deck Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 70% Penetration (5% Audit DEP159)

Removing 6 of 8 Seven-Pip Card (Rank-7) cards at 70% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 2 Rank-7 cards inside a 31-card stub (DEP159), producing 45.8966% Banker wins, 44.5708% Player wins, 9.5325% Ties, and a 0.9690% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.9690%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3258%
Rank-7 in 31-Card Stub
2/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9386
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P B B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = = = = =
Small Road = = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = = =
Cockroach Pig = = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ =

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBBPPBBPPBPTBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP159 (2D Rank-7 at 70% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP159)
31 / 104 Cards

70% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Rank-7 Remaining
2 of 8 Cards

6 7-pip cards (Player stand total and Dragon 7 boundary) removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.9690%

Resolved at 45.8966% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3258%

Resolved at 44.5708% Player win rate with 0.9386 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5325%

Produces a 14.2073% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP159.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP159

How Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 70% Depth Impacts 2D (5% Vig)

At 70% penetration of a 104-card (2D) shoe, state DEP159 isolates 6 dealt Rank-7 cards (2 remaining inside 31 stub cards), yielding 45.8966% Banker wins, 44.5708% Player wins, and 0.9386 per-hand standard deviation under 5%.

When 6 Rank-7 cards exit a 2D shoe by 70% penetration (DEP159, 2 left in 31 cards), depleting 7s lowers the (dep159-rank-7) rate of winning three-card banker (31c) 7 hands (the barred push (dep159-rank-7·31c) total on ez baccarat tables), combining a -0.83 bps rank vector with 5% settlement (-0.9690% Banker EV).

State DEP159 (2D, 70% depth, 2/8 Rank-7 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP159 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP159 Banker (5% Vig)45.8966% (-0.9690% EV)45.8998%DEP159 2D 70% (2 Rank-7)
DEP159 Player (1:1)44.5708% (-1.3258% EV)44.5676%DEP159 31-card 2D stub (0.9386 SD)
DEP159 Tie (8:1)9.5325% (-14.2073% EV)9.5326%DEP159 Rank-7 (6 out, 2 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP159

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP159 · 2D)

Whether DEP159 is observed in double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits at 70% depth (31/104 cards left, 2 Rank-7 remaining), 5% Vig settlement locks Banker EV at -0.9690% and Player EV at -1.3258% with 9.5325% Ties.

  • DEP159 (2D 70%): 31/104 cards with 2/8 Rank-7 (2A).
  • DEP159 (Rank-7 split): 45.8966% Banker, 44.5708% Player, 9.5325% Tie in 31 2D cards (2B).
  • DEP159 (5% Vig EV): -0.9690% Banker, -1.3258% Player, -14.2073% Tie, 0.9386 SD at 70% (2C).
  • DEP159 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 2 Rank-7 stub count (2D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 6 Seven-Pip Card cards leave a 2D shoe by 70% depth (DEP159), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-7 stub counts (2/8 in 31 cards); Banker carries a -0.9690% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android