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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · RANK-7 · 50% DEPTH

2-Deck Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 50% Penetration (Super 6 Audit DEP157)

Removing 5 of 8 Seven-Pip Card (Rank-7) cards at 50% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 3 Rank-7 cards inside a 52-card stub (DEP157), producing 45.8974% Banker wins, 44.5700% Player wins, 9.5325% Ties, and a 1.3656% Banker house edge under Super 6.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.3656%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3274%
Rank-7 in 52-Card Stub
3/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9366
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B B P P B P B B P P B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPBBPPBPBBPPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP157 (2D Rank-7 at 50% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP157)
52 / 104 Cards

50% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Rank-7 Remaining
3 of 8 Cards

5 7-pip cards (Player stand total and Dragon 7 boundary) removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.3656%

Resolved at 45.8974% Banker win rate under Super 6 settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3274%

Resolved at 44.5700% Player win rate with 0.9366 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5325%

Produces a 14.2071% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP157.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP157

How Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 50% Depth Impacts 2D (Super 6)

When a 2D shoe reaches 50% cut-card depth (52 of 104 cards undealt, state DEP157) with 5 Seven-Pip Card cards removed and 3 remaining, Player wins 44.5700% (1.3274% edge) while Banker wins 45.8974% (1.3656% edge under Super 6).

Mechanical draw trees in DEP157 reflect how depleting 7s lowers the (dep157-rank-7) rate of winning three-card banker (52c) 7 hands (the barred push (dep157-rank-7·52c) total on ez baccarat tables). At 50% 2D depth (3 Rank-7 left of 8 in 52 cards, -0.83 bps slope), banker wins on totals (dep157-2d) 1–5 and 7–9 pay 1:1 (3/8) while any winning 2-card or (dep157-2d·3/8) 3-card banker 6 pays 50 cents on the dollar.

State DEP157 (2D, 50% depth, 3/8 Rank-7 left, Super 6)
Wager / MetricState DEP157 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP157 Banker (Super 6)45.8974% (-1.3656% EV)45.8998%DEP157 2D 50% (3 Rank-7)
DEP157 Player (1:1)44.5700% (-1.3274% EV)44.5676%DEP157 52-card 2D stub (0.9366 SD)
DEP157 Tie (8:1)9.5325% (-14.2071% EV)9.5326%DEP157 Rank-7 (5 out, 3 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP157

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP157 · 2D)

Cut-card protocol at 50% depth in DEP157 (2D, 52 stub cards containing 3 Rank-7 cards) ensures the shoe reshuffles long before Super 6 house hold (1.3656% Banker / 1.3274% Player) is overturned.

  • DEP157 (2D 50%): 52/104 cards with 3/8 Rank-7 (6A).
  • DEP157 (Rank-7 split): 45.8974% Banker, 44.5700% Player, 9.5325% Tie in 52 2D cards (6B).
  • DEP157 (Super 6 EV): -1.3656% Banker, -1.3274% Player, -14.2071% Tie, 0.9366 SD at 50% (6C).
  • DEP157 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 3 Rank-7 stub count (6D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 5 Seven-Pip Card cards leave a 2D shoe by 50% depth (DEP157), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-7 stub counts (3/8 in 52 cards); Banker carries a -1.3656% expectation under Super 6.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android