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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · RANK-7 · 40% DEPTH

2-Deck Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 40% Penetration (4% Audit DEP156)

Removing 4 of 8 Seven-Pip Card (Rank-7) cards at 40% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 4 Rank-7 cards inside a 62-card stub (DEP156), producing 45.8980% Banker wins, 44.5694% Player wins, 9.5326% Ties, and a 0.5073% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5073%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3286%
Rank-7 in 62-Card Stub
4/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9356
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P P P B B B B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = ≠ = ≠ = = = = = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPPPPBBBBPPBBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP156 (2D Rank-7 at 40% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP156)
62 / 104 Cards

40% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Rank-7 Remaining
4 of 8 Cards

4 7-pip cards (Player stand total and Dragon 7 boundary) removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5073%

Resolved at 45.8980% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3286%

Resolved at 44.5694% Player win rate with 0.9356 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5326%

Produces a 14.2070% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP156.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP156

How Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 40% Depth Impacts 2D (4% Vig)

In combinatorial record DEP156, depleting 4 Rank-7 cards across 40% of a 2D (104-card) pack leaves 4 Seven-Pip Card cards among 62 remaining cards, setting Banker win probability to 45.8980% and house edge to 0.5073% (4% Vig).

For DEP156 (2-deck shoe, 40% dealt), player stands pat on (dep156) two-card 7, and a player (2d-40%) third-card 7 is the highest (dep156·2d-40%) card that forces banker 4, 5, and 6 to draw. Holding 4 of 8 Rank-7 cards in a 62-card stub with -0.83 bps rank slope yields 45.8980% Banker, 44.5694% Player, and 9.5326% Tie.

State DEP156 (2D, 40% depth, 4/8 Rank-7 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP156 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP156 Banker (4% Vig)45.8980% (-0.5073% EV)45.8998%DEP156 2D 40% (4 Rank-7)
DEP156 Player (1:1)44.5694% (-1.3286% EV)44.5676%DEP156 62-card 2D stub (0.9356 SD)
DEP156 Tie (8:1)9.5326% (-14.2070% EV)9.5326%DEP156 Rank-7 (4 out, 4 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP156

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP156 · 2D)

Comparing DEP156 (40% 2D depth, 4 Rank-7 removed, 4 remaining in 62 cards) against fresh-shoe baselines shows how finite-stub variance (0.9356 SD) coexists with a 0.5073% 4% Banker house edge.

  • DEP156 (2D 40%): 62/104 cards with 4/8 Rank-7 (1A).
  • DEP156 (Rank-7 split): 45.8980% Banker, 44.5694% Player, 9.5326% Tie in 62 2D cards (1B).
  • DEP156 (4% Vig EV): -0.5073% Banker, -1.3286% Player, -14.2070% Tie, 0.9356 SD at 40% (1C).
  • DEP156 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 4 Rank-7 stub count (1D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 4 Seven-Pip Card cards leave a 2D shoe by 40% depth (DEP156), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-7 stub counts (4/8 in 62 cards); Banker carries a -0.5073% expectation under 4%.
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Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android