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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · RANK-7 · 25% DEPTH

2-Deck Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 25% Penetration (5% Audit DEP155)

Removing 2 of 8 Seven-Pip Card (Rank-7) cards at 25% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 6 Rank-7 cards inside a 78-card stub (DEP155), producing 45.8990% Banker wins, 44.5684% Player wins, 9.5326% Ties, and a 0.9644% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.9644%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3306%
Rank-7 in 78-Card Stub
6/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9341
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B B B P P P P B B P P B P
Big Eye Boy = = = ≠ = ≠ = = = = = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBBBBPPPPBBPPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP155 (2D Rank-7 at 25% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP155)
78 / 104 Cards

25% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Rank-7 Remaining
6 of 8 Cards

2 7-pip cards (Player stand total and Dragon 7 boundary) removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.9644%

Resolved at 45.8990% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3306%

Resolved at 44.5684% Player win rate with 0.9341 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5326%

Produces a 14.2068% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP155.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP155

How Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 25% Depth Impacts 2D (5% Vig)

Audit DEP155 evaluates a 2-deck (104-card) shoe at 25% penetration where 2 of 8 Seven-Pip Card cards have exited, leaving 6 Rank-7 cards inside the 78-card stub with Banker EV at -0.9644% under 5%.

Tracking DEP155 across 78 remaining 2D cards (25% depth) shows that depleting 7s lowers the (dep155-rank-7) rate of winning three-card banker (78c) 7 hands (the barred push (dep155-rank-7·78c) total on ez baccarat tables). With 2 Rank-7 cards gone (-0.83 bps unit sensitivity), Banker expectation is -0.9644% (5% Vig) vs -1.3306% on Player.

State DEP155 (2D, 25% depth, 6/8 Rank-7 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP155 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP155 Banker (5% Vig)45.8990% (-0.9644% EV)45.8998%DEP155 2D 25% (6 Rank-7)
DEP155 Player (1:1)44.5684% (-1.3306% EV)44.5676%DEP155 78-card 2D stub (0.9341 SD)
DEP155 Tie (8:1)9.5326% (-14.2068% EV)9.5326%DEP155 Rank-7 (2 out, 6 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP155

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP155 · 2D)

Even at 25% penetration in DEP155 where 2 Rank-7 cards have exited a 2D shoe (6 left in 78 cards), derived-road red and blue entries measure structural regularity on the Big Road—not whether Banker (-0.9644% EV, 5% Vig) or Player (-1.3306% EV) is favored next.

  • DEP155 (2D 25%): 78/104 cards with 6/8 Rank-7 (3A).
  • DEP155 (Rank-7 split): 45.8990% Banker, 44.5684% Player, 9.5326% Tie in 78 2D cards (3B).
  • DEP155 (5% Vig EV): -0.9644% Banker, -1.3306% Player, -14.2068% Tie, 0.9341 SD at 25% (3C).
  • DEP155 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 6 Rank-7 stub count (3D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 2 Seven-Pip Card cards leave a 2D shoe by 25% depth (DEP155), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-7 stub counts (6/8 in 78 cards); Banker carries a -0.9644% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android