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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · RANK-6 · 70% DEPTH

2-Deck Six-Pip Card Depletion at 70% Penetration (5% Audit DEP150)

Removing 6 of 8 Six-Pip Card (Rank-6) cards at 70% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 2 Rank-6 cards inside a 31-card stub (DEP150), producing 45.8955% Banker wins, 44.5720% Player wins, 9.5325% Ties, and a 0.9712% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.9712%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3235%
Rank-6 in 31-Card Stub
2/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9383
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBBPPPBBPBTBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP150 (2D Rank-6 at 70% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 2 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP150)
31 / 104 Cards

70% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Rank-6 Remaining
2 of 8 Cards

6 6-pip cards (standing threshold and Banker 6 trigger) removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.9712%

Resolved at 45.8955% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3235%

Resolved at 44.5720% Player win rate with 0.9383 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5325%

Produces a 14.2073% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP150.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP150

How Six-Pip Card Depletion at 70% Depth Impacts 2D (5% Vig)

Depletion matrix entry DEP150 pairs 2D (104 cards) at 70% penetration with 6 removed Six-Pip Card cards (2 left in 31 cards), fixing per-hand volatility at 0.9383 and Banker house hold at 0.9712% (5% Vig).

Because removing 6-pip cards produces (dep150-rank-6) the strongest per-card shift toward (31c) the player side and reduces (dep150-rank-6·31c) barred banker 6 incidence, state DEP150 (70% 2D depth, 6 Rank-6 removed, 2 in 31 cards) registers a -1.13 bps rank derivative and 0.9712% Banker house edge (5% Vig).

State DEP150 (2D, 70% depth, 2/8 Rank-6 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP150 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP150 Banker (5% Vig)45.8955% (-0.9712% EV)45.8998%DEP150 2D 70% (2 Rank-6)
DEP150 Player (1:1)44.5720% (-1.3235% EV)44.5676%DEP150 31-card 2D stub (0.9383 SD)
DEP150 Tie (8:1)9.5325% (-14.2073% EV)9.5326%DEP150 Rank-6 (6 out, 2 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP150

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP150 · 2D)

Across 100-hand session horizons at state DEP150 (2D 70% depth, 2/8 Rank-6 in 31 cards), single-hand dispersion (0.9383 SD) dominates the 0.9712% (5% Vig) Banker and 1.3235% Player expectation gap.

  • DEP150 (2D 70%): 31/104 cards with 2/8 Rank-6 (6A).
  • DEP150 (Rank-6 split): 45.8955% Banker, 44.5720% Player, 9.5325% Tie in 31 2D cards (6B).
  • DEP150 (5% Vig EV): -0.9712% Banker, -1.3235% Player, -14.2073% Tie, 0.9383 SD at 70% (6C).
  • DEP150 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 2 Rank-6 stub count (6D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 6 Six-Pip Card cards leave a 2D shoe by 70% depth (DEP150), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-6 stub counts (2/8 in 31 cards); Banker carries a -0.9712% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android