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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · RANK-6 · 40% DEPTH

2-Deck Six-Pip Card Depletion at 40% Penetration (4% Audit DEP147)

Removing 4 of 8 Six-Pip Card (Rank-6) cards at 40% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 4 Rank-6 cards inside a 62-card stub (DEP147), producing 45.8974% Banker wins, 44.5701% Player wins, 9.5326% Ties, and a 0.5086% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5086%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3273%
Rank-6 in 62-Card Stub
4/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9353
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P B B P P B P B P B B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPBPBBPPBPBPBB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP147 (2D Rank-6 at 40% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP147)
62 / 104 Cards

40% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Rank-6 Remaining
4 of 8 Cards

4 6-pip cards (standing threshold and Banker 6 trigger) removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5086%

Resolved at 45.8974% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3273%

Resolved at 44.5701% Player win rate with 0.9353 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5326%

Produces a 14.2070% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP147.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP147

How Six-Pip Card Depletion at 40% Depth Impacts 2D (4% Vig)

Card-removal benchmark DEP147 measures Six-Pip Card (Rank-6) scarcity at 40% depth in a 2-deck shoe: 4 removed ranks leave 4 in the 62-card remainder, shifting Banker win share to 45.8974% (0.5086% edge, 4% Vig).

Combinatorial weighting in DEP147 (62 cards left from 104 at 40% depth) is governed by two rules: banker 6 only draws (dep147) when player pulls a third-card (2d-40%) 6 or 7; depleting 6s (dep147·2d-40%) directly alters both banker 6 draws and super 6 settlement frequency, and winning banker wagers collect (dep147-2d) 0.96 units per unit staked (4/8) with 60% of the shoe (dep147-2d·4/8) still inside the acrylic carrier (-1.13 bps per Rank-6 removed).

State DEP147 (2D, 40% depth, 4/8 Rank-6 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP147 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP147 Banker (4% Vig)45.8974% (-0.5086% EV)45.8998%DEP147 2D 40% (4 Rank-6)
DEP147 Player (1:1)44.5701% (-1.3273% EV)44.5676%DEP147 62-card 2D stub (0.9353 SD)
DEP147 Tie (8:1)9.5326% (-14.2070% EV)9.5326%DEP147 Rank-6 (4 out, 4 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP147

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP147 · 2D)

Statistical verification of DEP147 (2D, 40% penetration, 4 Six-Pip Card cards in 62 stub cards) demonstrates why single-rank depletion (4 Rank-6 dealt) shifts edges by basis points around -0.5086% (4% Vig).

  • DEP147 (2D 40%): 62/104 cards with 4/8 Rank-6 (5A).
  • DEP147 (Rank-6 split): 45.8974% Banker, 44.5701% Player, 9.5326% Tie in 62 2D cards (5B).
  • DEP147 (4% Vig EV): -0.5086% Banker, -1.3273% Player, -14.2070% Tie, 0.9353 SD at 40% (5C).
  • DEP147 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 4 Rank-6 stub count (5D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 4 Six-Pip Card cards leave a 2D shoe by 40% depth (DEP147), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-6 stub counts (4/8 in 62 cards); Banker carries a -0.5086% expectation under 4%.
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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android