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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · RANK-5 · 75% DEPTH

2-Deck Five-Pip Card Depletion at 75% Penetration (4% Audit DEP142)

Removing 7 of 8 Five-Pip Card (Rank-5) cards at 75% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 1 Rank-5 cards inside a 26-card stub (DEP142), producing 45.8960% Banker wins, 44.5715% Player wins, 9.5325% Ties, and a 0.5114% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5114%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3245%
Rank-5 in 26-Card Stub
1/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9385
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P P B B P B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBPPBBPBPPBBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP142 (2D Rank-5 at 75% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP142)
26 / 104 Cards

75% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Rank-5 Remaining
1 of 8 Cards

7 5-pip cards (final mandatory Player draw threshold) removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5114%

Resolved at 45.8960% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3245%

Resolved at 44.5715% Player win rate with 0.9385 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5325%

Produces a 14.2074% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP142.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP142

How Five-Pip Card Depletion at 75% Depth Impacts 2D (4% Vig)

In combinatorial record DEP142, depleting 7 Rank-5 cards across 75% of a 2D (104-card) pack leaves 1 Five-Pip Card cards among 26 remaining cards, setting Banker win probability to 45.8960% and house edge to 0.5114% (4% Vig).

In 2D audit DEP142 (26/104 stub at 75% depth), fewer 5s in the (dep142-rank-5) stub reduce banker third-card improvements (26c) from 3 to 8 and (dep142-rank-5·26c) from 4 to 9. Removing 7 Rank-5 cards (-0.84 bps per card) alongside 4% Vig rules sets Tie hold to 14.2074% (9.5325% frequency).

State DEP142 (2D, 75% depth, 1/8 Rank-5 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP142 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP142 Banker (4% Vig)45.8960% (-0.5114% EV)45.8998%DEP142 2D 75% (1 Rank-5)
DEP142 Player (1:1)44.5715% (-1.3245% EV)44.5676%DEP142 26-card 2D stub (0.9385 SD)
DEP142 Tie (8:1)9.5325% (-14.2074% EV)9.5326%DEP142 Rank-5 (7 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP142

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP142 · 2D)

Cut-card protocol at 75% depth in DEP142 (2D, 26 stub cards containing 1 Rank-5 cards) ensures the shoe reshuffles long before 4% house hold (0.5114% Banker / 1.3245% Player) is overturned.

  • DEP142 (2D 75%): 26/104 cards with 1/8 Rank-5 (1A).
  • DEP142 (Rank-5 split): 45.8960% Banker, 44.5715% Player, 9.5325% Tie in 26 2D cards (1B).
  • DEP142 (4% Vig EV): -0.5114% Banker, -1.3245% Player, -14.2074% Tie, 0.9385 SD at 75% (1C).
  • DEP142 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Rank-5 stub count (1D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 7 Five-Pip Card cards leave a 2D shoe by 75% depth (DEP142), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-5 stub counts (1/8 in 26 cards); Banker carries a -0.5114% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android