Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Combinatorial Math Hub
  3. 2D Rank-5 Depletion at 70% Depth (5% Vig)
COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · RANK-5 · 70% DEPTH

2-Deck Five-Pip Card Depletion at 70% Penetration (5% Audit DEP141)

Removing 6 of 8 Five-Pip Card (Rank-5) cards at 70% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 2 Rank-5 cards inside a 31-card stub (DEP141), producing 45.8966% Banker wins, 44.5709% Player wins, 9.5325% Ties, and a 0.9691% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.9691%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3257%
Rank-5 in 31-Card Stub
2/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9380
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B B P P B P B B P P B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPBBPPBPBBPPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP141 (2D Rank-5 at 70% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP141)
31 / 104 Cards

70% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Rank-5 Remaining
2 of 8 Cards

6 5-pip cards (final mandatory Player draw threshold) removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.9691%

Resolved at 45.8966% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3257%

Resolved at 44.5709% Player win rate with 0.9380 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5325%

Produces a 14.2073% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP141.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP141

How Five-Pip Card Depletion at 70% Depth Impacts 2D (5% Vig)

Audit DEP141 evaluates a 2-deck (104-card) shoe at 70% penetration where 6 of 8 Five-Pip Card cards have exited, leaving 2 Rank-5 cards inside the 31-card stub with Banker EV at -0.9691% under 5%.

Under the fixed third-card tableau for DEP141, because player draws on (dep141) two-card 5 and stands on (2d-70%) 6, while banker 3, 4, (dep141·2d-70%) and 5 all draw against a player third-card 5, rank 5 favors player when depleted. With 2 Rank-5 cards inside 31 remaining 2D cards (70% dealt), single-card slope (-0.84 bps) keeps Banker house edge at 0.9691% and Player at 1.3257%.

State DEP141 (2D, 70% depth, 2/8 Rank-5 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP141 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP141 Banker (5% Vig)45.8966% (-0.9691% EV)45.8998%DEP141 2D 70% (2 Rank-5)
DEP141 Player (1:1)44.5709% (-1.3257% EV)44.5676%DEP141 31-card 2D stub (0.9380 SD)
DEP141 Tie (8:1)9.5325% (-14.2073% EV)9.5326%DEP141 Rank-5 (6 out, 2 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP141

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP141 · 2D)

Comparing DEP141 (70% 2D depth, 6 Rank-5 removed, 2 remaining in 31 cards) against fresh-shoe baselines shows how finite-stub variance (0.9380 SD) coexists with a 0.9691% 5% Banker house edge.

  • DEP141 (2D 70%): 31/104 cards with 2/8 Rank-5 (3A).
  • DEP141 (Rank-5 split): 45.8966% Banker, 44.5709% Player, 9.5325% Tie in 31 2D cards (3B).
  • DEP141 (5% Vig EV): -0.9691% Banker, -1.3257% Player, -14.2073% Tie, 0.9380 SD at 70% (3C).
  • DEP141 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 2 Rank-5 stub count (3D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 6 Five-Pip Card cards leave a 2D shoe by 70% depth (DEP141), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-5 stub counts (2/8 in 31 cards); Banker carries a -0.9691% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android