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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · RANK-5 · 25% DEPTH

2-Deck Five-Pip Card Depletion at 25% Penetration (5% Audit DEP137)

Removing 2 of 8 Five-Pip Card (Rank-5) cards at 25% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 6 Rank-5 cards inside a 78-card stub (DEP137), producing 45.8990% Banker wins, 44.5684% Player wins, 9.5326% Ties, and a 0.9644% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.9644%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3306%
Rank-5 in 78-Card Stub
6/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9335
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P B B P B P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPTBPPBBPBPBBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP137 (2D Rank-5 at 25% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP137)
78 / 104 Cards

25% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Rank-5 Remaining
6 of 8 Cards

2 5-pip cards (final mandatory Player draw threshold) removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.9644%

Resolved at 45.8990% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3306%

Resolved at 44.5684% Player win rate with 0.9335 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5326%

Produces a 14.2068% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP137.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP137

How Five-Pip Card Depletion at 25% Depth Impacts 2D (5% Vig)

Removing 2 of 8 Rank-5 cards by the 25% mark of a 2-deck shoe (DEP137, 78 cards left) leaves 6 Five-Pip Card cards and adjusts conditional probabilities to 45.8990% Banker, 44.5684% Player, and 9.5326% Tie under 5%.

When 2 Rank-5 cards exit a 2D shoe by 25% penetration (DEP137, 6 left in 78 cards), fewer 5s in the (dep137-rank-5) stub reduce banker third-card improvements (78c) from 3 to 8 and (dep137-rank-5·78c) from 4 to 9, combining a -0.84 bps rank vector with 5% settlement (-0.9644% Banker EV).

State DEP137 (2D, 25% depth, 6/8 Rank-5 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP137 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP137 Banker (5% Vig)45.8990% (-0.9644% EV)45.8998%DEP137 2D 25% (6 Rank-5)
DEP137 Player (1:1)44.5684% (-1.3306% EV)44.5676%DEP137 78-card 2D stub (0.9335 SD)
DEP137 Tie (8:1)9.5326% (-14.2068% EV)9.5326%DEP137 Rank-5 (2 out, 6 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP137

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP137 · 2D)

In studio and floor audits of DEP137 (78 cards undealt out of 104 in 2D at 25% depth), a 0.9335 unit standard deviation accompanies the 6-card Rank-5 stub under 5% Vig (45.8990% Banker vs 44.5684% Player).

  • DEP137 (2D 25%): 78/104 cards with 6/8 Rank-5 (4A).
  • DEP137 (Rank-5 split): 45.8990% Banker, 44.5684% Player, 9.5326% Tie in 78 2D cards (4B).
  • DEP137 (5% Vig EV): -0.9644% Banker, -1.3306% Player, -14.2068% Tie, 0.9335 SD at 25% (4C).
  • DEP137 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 6 Rank-5 stub count (4D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 2 Five-Pip Card cards leave a 2D shoe by 25% depth (DEP137), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-5 stub counts (6/8 in 78 cards); Banker carries a -0.9644% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android