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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · RANK-3 · 85% DEPTH

2-Deck Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 85% Penetration (EZ Baccarat Audit DEP126)

Removing 7 of 8 Three-Pip (Trey) (Rank-3) cards at 85% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 1 Rank-3 cards inside a 16-card stub (DEP126), producing 45.9029% Banker wins, 44.5644% Player wins, 9.5327% Ties, and a 0.9149% Banker house edge under EZ Baccarat.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.9149%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3385%
Rank-3 in 16-Card Stub
1/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9389
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P P B B P B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBPPBBPBPPBBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP126 (2D Rank-3 at 85% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP126)
16 / 104 Cards

85% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Rank-3 Remaining
1 of 8 Cards

7 3-pip cards across all four suits removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.9149%

Resolved at 45.9029% Banker win rate under EZ Baccarat settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3385%

Resolved at 44.5644% Player win rate with 0.9389 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5327%

Produces a 14.2057% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP126.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP126

How Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 85% Depth Impacts 2D (EZ Bar-7)

Quantitative proof DEP126 documents 2D rank depletion at 85% depth: 7 exited Rank-3 cards leave 1 of 8 in the 16-card stub, generating 45.9029% Banker wins (-0.9149% EV under EZ Bar-7) and 44.5644% Player wins.

When 7 Rank-3 cards exit a 2D shoe by 85% penetration (DEP126, 1 left in 16 cards), each removed 3-pip card (dep126-rank-3) modifies the boundary between banker (16c) standing on 5 and drawing (dep126-rank-3·16c) against mid-range player pulls, combining a +0.65 bps rank vector with EZ Baccarat settlement (-0.9149% Banker EV).

State DEP126 (2D, 85% depth, 1/8 Rank-3 left, EZ Bar-7)
Wager / MetricState DEP126 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP126 Banker (EZ Bar-7)45.9029% (-0.9149% EV)45.8998%DEP126 2D 85% (1 Rank-3)
DEP126 Player (1:1)44.5644% (-1.3385% EV)44.5676%DEP126 16-card 2D stub (0.9389 SD)
DEP126 Tie (8:1)9.5327% (-14.2057% EV)9.5326%DEP126 Rank-3 (7 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP126

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP126 · 2D)

Cut-card protocol at 85% depth in DEP126 (2D, 16 stub cards containing 1 Rank-3 cards) ensures the shoe reshuffles long before EZ Baccarat house hold (0.9149% Banker / 1.3385% Player) is overturned.

  • DEP126 (2D 85%): 16/104 cards with 1/8 Rank-3 (5A).
  • DEP126 (Rank-3 split): 45.9029% Banker, 44.5644% Player, 9.5327% Tie in 16 2D cards (5B).
  • DEP126 (EZ Bar-7 EV): -0.9149% Banker, -1.3385% Player, -14.2057% Tie, 0.9389 SD at 85% (5C).
  • DEP126 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Rank-3 stub count (5D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 7 Three-Pip (Trey) cards leave a 2D shoe by 85% depth (DEP126), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-3 stub counts (1/8 in 16 cards); Banker carries a -0.9149% expectation under EZ Baccarat.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android