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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · RANK-3 · 80% DEPTH

2-Deck Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 80% Penetration (Super 6 Audit DEP125)

Removing 7 of 8 Three-Pip (Trey) (Rank-3) cards at 80% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 1 Rank-3 cards inside a 21-card stub (DEP125), producing 45.9028% Banker wins, 44.5645% Player wins, 9.5327% Ties, and a 1.3546% Banker house edge under Super 6.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.3546%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3384%
Rank-3 in 21-Card Stub
1/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9384
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B B P P B P B B P P B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPBBPPBPBBPPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP125 (2D Rank-3 at 80% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP125)
21 / 104 Cards

80% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Rank-3 Remaining
1 of 8 Cards

7 3-pip cards across all four suits removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.3546%

Resolved at 45.9028% Banker win rate under Super 6 settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3384%

Resolved at 44.5645% Player win rate with 0.9384 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5327%

Produces a 14.2058% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP125.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP125

How Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 80% Depth Impacts 2D (Super 6)

Shoe-stub analysis DEP125 inspects 21 remaining cards at 80% penetration of a 104-card (2D) pack after 7 Three-Pip (Trey) cards have cleared, leaving 1 Rank-3 cards and a 1.3546% Super 6 Banker edge.

Combinatorial weighting in DEP125 (21 cards left from 104 at 80% depth) is governed by two rules: banker total 4 draws (dep125) on player third-card 3, and (2d-80%) banker total 5 stands on (dep125·2d-80%) player third-card 3, creating asymmetric sensitivity, and only 20% of the (dep125-2d) initial shoe remains undealt while (1/8) winning banker 6 hands forfeit (dep125-2d·1/8) half their payout (+0.65 bps per Rank-3 removed).

State DEP125 (2D, 80% depth, 1/8 Rank-3 left, Super 6)
Wager / MetricState DEP125 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP125 Banker (Super 6)45.9028% (-1.3546% EV)45.8998%DEP125 2D 80% (1 Rank-3)
DEP125 Player (1:1)44.5645% (-1.3384% EV)44.5676%DEP125 21-card 2D stub (0.9384 SD)
DEP125 Tie (8:1)9.5327% (-14.2058% EV)9.5326%DEP125 Rank-3 (7 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP125

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP125 · 2D)

Comparing DEP125 (80% 2D depth, 7 Rank-3 removed, 1 remaining in 21 cards) against fresh-shoe baselines shows how finite-stub variance (0.9384 SD) coexists with a 1.3546% Super 6 Banker house edge.

  • DEP125 (2D 80%): 21/104 cards with 1/8 Rank-3 (7A).
  • DEP125 (Rank-3 split): 45.9028% Banker, 44.5645% Player, 9.5327% Tie in 21 2D cards (7B).
  • DEP125 (Super 6 EV): -1.3546% Banker, -1.3384% Player, -14.2058% Tie, 0.9384 SD at 80% (7C).
  • DEP125 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Rank-3 stub count (7D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 7 Three-Pip (Trey) cards leave a 2D shoe by 80% depth (DEP125), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-3 stub counts (1/8 in 21 cards); Banker carries a -1.3546% expectation under Super 6.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android