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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · RANK-3 · 60% DEPTH

2-Deck Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 60% Penetration (EZ Baccarat Audit DEP122)

Removing 6 of 8 Three-Pip (Trey) (Rank-3) cards at 60% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 2 Rank-3 cards inside a 42-card stub (DEP122), producing 45.9021% Banker wins, 44.5652% Player wins, 9.5327% Ties, and a 0.9164% Banker house edge under EZ Baccarat.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.9164%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3370%
Rank-3 in 42-Card Stub
2/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9364
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBTBPPBBPBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP122 (2D Rank-3 at 60% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP122)
42 / 104 Cards

60% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Rank-3 Remaining
2 of 8 Cards

6 3-pip cards across all four suits removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.9164%

Resolved at 45.9021% Banker win rate under EZ Baccarat settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3370%

Resolved at 44.5652% Player win rate with 0.9364 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5327%

Produces a 14.2060% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP122.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP122

How Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 60% Depth Impacts 2D (EZ Bar-7)

Depletion matrix entry DEP122 pairs 2D (104 cards) at 60% penetration with 6 removed Three-Pip (Trey) cards (2 left in 42 cards), fixing per-hand volatility at 0.9364 and Banker house hold at 0.9164% (EZ Bar-7).

Tracking DEP122 across 42 remaining 2D cards (60% depth) shows that each removed 3-pip card (dep122-rank-3) modifies the boundary between banker (42c) standing on 5 and drawing (dep122-rank-3·42c) against mid-range player pulls. With 6 Rank-3 cards gone (+0.65 bps unit sensitivity), Banker expectation is -0.9164% (EZ Bar-7) vs -1.3370% on Player.

State DEP122 (2D, 60% depth, 2/8 Rank-3 left, EZ Bar-7)
Wager / MetricState DEP122 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP122 Banker (EZ Bar-7)45.9021% (-0.9164% EV)45.8998%DEP122 2D 60% (2 Rank-3)
DEP122 Player (1:1)44.5652% (-1.3370% EV)44.5676%DEP122 42-card 2D stub (0.9364 SD)
DEP122 Tie (8:1)9.5327% (-14.2060% EV)9.5326%DEP122 Rank-3 (6 out, 2 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP122

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP122 · 2D)

In studio and floor audits of DEP122 (42 cards undealt out of 104 in 2D at 60% depth), a 0.9364 unit standard deviation accompanies the 2-card Rank-3 stub under EZ Bar-7 (45.9021% Banker vs 44.5652% Player).

  • DEP122 (2D 60%): 42/104 cards with 2/8 Rank-3 (6A).
  • DEP122 (Rank-3 split): 45.9021% Banker, 44.5652% Player, 9.5327% Tie in 42 2D cards (6B).
  • DEP122 (EZ Bar-7 EV): -0.9164% Banker, -1.3370% Player, -14.2060% Tie, 0.9364 SD at 60% (6C).
  • DEP122 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 2 Rank-3 stub count (6D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 6 Three-Pip (Trey) cards leave a 2D shoe by 60% depth (DEP122), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-3 stub counts (2/8 in 42 cards); Banker carries a -0.9164% expectation under EZ Baccarat.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android