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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · RANK-3 · 50% DEPTH

2-Deck Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 50% Penetration (Super 6 Audit DEP121)

Removing 5 of 8 Three-Pip (Trey) (Rank-3) cards at 50% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 3 Rank-3 cards inside a 52-card stub (DEP121), producing 45.9016% Banker wins, 44.5657% Player wins, 9.5327% Ties, and a 1.3571% Banker house edge under Super 6.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.3571%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3359%
Rank-3 in 52-Card Stub
3/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9354
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P B B P B P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPTBPPBBPBPBBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP121 (2D Rank-3 at 50% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP121)
52 / 104 Cards

50% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Rank-3 Remaining
3 of 8 Cards

5 3-pip cards across all four suits removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (Super 6)
-1.3571%

Resolved at 45.9016% Banker win rate under Super 6 settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3359%

Resolved at 44.5657% Player win rate with 0.9354 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5327%

Produces a 14.2061% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP121.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP121

How Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 50% Depth Impacts 2D (Super 6)

Across 112,869,612,134,400 initial 2D permutations, depletion node DEP121 narrows to a 52-card stub (50% depth) holding 3 of 8 Rank-3 cards, where Banker resolves at 45.9016% (-1.3571% EV) and Player at 44.5657% (-1.3359% EV).

Why does Rank-3 carry a +0.65 bps per-card effect in DEP121? Banker total 4 draws (DEP121) on Player third-card 3, and (2D-50%) Banker total 5 stands on (DEP121·2D-50%) Player third-card 3, creating asymmetric sensitivity, and at 50% penetration (3 Three-Pip (Trey) cards left in 52 2D cards), banker wins on totals (dep121-2d) 1–5 and 7–9 pay 1:1 (3/8) while any winning 2-card or (dep121-2d·3/8) 3-card banker 6 pays 50 cents on the dollar.

State DEP121 (2D, 50% depth, 3/8 Rank-3 left, Super 6)
Wager / MetricState DEP121 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP121 Banker (Super 6)45.9016% (-1.3571% EV)45.8998%DEP121 2D 50% (3 Rank-3)
DEP121 Player (1:1)44.5657% (-1.3359% EV)44.5676%DEP121 52-card 2D stub (0.9354 SD)
DEP121 Tie (8:1)9.5327% (-14.2061% EV)9.5326%DEP121 Rank-3 (5 out, 3 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP121

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP121 · 2D)

On the electronic scoreboard for DEP121 (2D, 50% depth, 52 cards left), Bead Plate and Big Road circles record Banker (45.9016%) and Player (44.5657%) outcomes, whereas Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig marks reflect column symmetry rather than Rank-3 card counts (3/8).

  • DEP121 (2D 50%): 52/104 cards with 3/8 Rank-3 (1A).
  • DEP121 (Rank-3 split): 45.9016% Banker, 44.5657% Player, 9.5327% Tie in 52 2D cards (1B).
  • DEP121 (Super 6 EV): -1.3571% Banker, -1.3359% Player, -14.2061% Tie, 0.9354 SD at 50% (1C).
  • DEP121 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 3 Rank-3 stub count (1D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 5 Three-Pip (Trey) cards leave a 2D shoe by 50% depth (DEP121), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-3 stub counts (3/8 in 52 cards); Banker carries a -1.3571% expectation under Super 6.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android