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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · RANK-3 · 40% DEPTH

2-Deck Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 40% Penetration (4% Audit DEP120)

Removing 4 of 8 Three-Pip (Trey) (Rank-3) cards at 40% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 4 Rank-3 cards inside a 62-card stub (DEP120), producing 45.9012% Banker wins, 44.5662% Player wins, 9.5326% Ties, and a 0.5010% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5010%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3350%
Rank-3 in 62-Card Stub
4/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9344
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B P B P B B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPPBPBPBBPPBBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP120 (2D Rank-3 at 40% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP120)
62 / 104 Cards

40% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Rank-3 Remaining
4 of 8 Cards

4 3-pip cards across all four suits removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5010%

Resolved at 45.9012% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3350%

Resolved at 44.5662% Player win rate with 0.9344 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5326%

Produces a 14.2062% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP120.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP120

How Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 40% Depth Impacts 2D (4% Vig)

Within double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits, profile DEP120 examines 40% shoe depletion (62 of 104 cards remaining) after 4 Rank-3 cards exit, leaving 4 Three-Pip (Trey) cards and a 0.5010% Banker house hold under 4%.

In 2D audit DEP120 (62/104 stub at 40% depth), each removed 3-pip card (dep120-rank-3) modifies the boundary between banker (62c) standing on 5 and drawing (dep120-rank-3·62c) against mid-range player pulls. Removing 4 Rank-3 cards (+0.65 bps per card) alongside 4% Vig rules sets Tie hold to 14.2062% (9.5326% frequency).

State DEP120 (2D, 40% depth, 4/8 Rank-3 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP120 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP120 Banker (4% Vig)45.9012% (-0.5010% EV)45.8998%DEP120 2D 40% (4 Rank-3)
DEP120 Player (1:1)44.5662% (-1.3350% EV)44.5676%DEP120 62-card 2D stub (0.9344 SD)
DEP120 Tie (8:1)9.5326% (-14.2062% EV)9.5326%DEP120 Rank-3 (4 out, 4 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP120

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP120 · 2D)

Across 100-hand session horizons at state DEP120 (2D 40% depth, 4/8 Rank-3 in 62 cards), single-hand dispersion (0.9344 SD) dominates the 0.5010% (4% Vig) Banker and 1.3350% Player expectation gap.

  • DEP120 (2D 40%): 62/104 cards with 4/8 Rank-3 (3A).
  • DEP120 (Rank-3 split): 45.9012% Banker, 44.5662% Player, 9.5326% Tie in 62 2D cards (3B).
  • DEP120 (4% Vig EV): -0.5010% Banker, -1.3350% Player, -14.2062% Tie, 0.9344 SD at 40% (3C).
  • DEP120 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 4 Rank-3 stub count (3D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 4 Three-Pip (Trey) cards leave a 2D shoe by 40% depth (DEP120), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-3 stub counts (4/8 in 62 cards); Banker carries a -0.5010% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android