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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · RANK-3 · 25% DEPTH

2-Deck Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 25% Penetration (5% Audit DEP119)

Removing 2 of 8 Three-Pip (Trey) (Rank-3) cards at 25% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 6 Rank-3 cards inside a 78-card stub (DEP119), producing 45.9004% Banker wins, 44.5670% Player wins, 9.5326% Ties, and a 0.9615% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.9615%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3335%
Rank-3 in 78-Card Stub
6/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9329
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P B P B P P B B P P B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBBPBPBPPBBPPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP119 (2D Rank-3 at 25% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP119)
78 / 104 Cards

25% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Rank-3 Remaining
6 of 8 Cards

2 3-pip cards across all four suits removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.9615%

Resolved at 45.9004% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3335%

Resolved at 44.5670% Player win rate with 0.9329 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5326%

Produces a 14.2064% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP119.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP119

How Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 25% Depth Impacts 2D (5% Vig)

Card-removal benchmark DEP119 measures Three-Pip (Trey) (Rank-3) scarcity at 25% depth in a 2-deck shoe: 2 removed ranks leave 6 in the 78-card remainder, shifting Banker win share to 45.9004% (0.9615% edge, 5% Vig).

Under the fixed third-card tableau for DEP119, banker total 4 draws (dep119) on player third-card 3, and (2d-25%) banker total 5 stands on (dep119·2d-25%) player third-card 3, creating asymmetric sensitivity. With 6 Rank-3 cards inside 78 remaining 2D cards (25% dealt), single-card slope (+0.65 bps) keeps Banker house edge at 0.9615% and Player at 1.3335%.

State DEP119 (2D, 25% depth, 6/8 Rank-3 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP119 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP119 Banker (5% Vig)45.9004% (-0.9615% EV)45.8998%DEP119 2D 25% (6 Rank-3)
DEP119 Player (1:1)44.5670% (-1.3335% EV)44.5676%DEP119 78-card 2D stub (0.9329 SD)
DEP119 Tie (8:1)9.5326% (-14.2064% EV)9.5326%DEP119 Rank-3 (2 out, 6 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP119

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP119 · 2D)

Learners auditing DEP119 (2D at 25% depth, 6/8 Rank-3 in 78 stub cards) can verify that 5% house hold (0.9615% Banker, 1.3335% Player, 14.2064% Tie) operates independently of prior Big Road streaks.

  • DEP119 (2D 25%): 78/104 cards with 6/8 Rank-3 (5A).
  • DEP119 (Rank-3 split): 45.9004% Banker, 44.5670% Player, 9.5326% Tie in 78 2D cards (5B).
  • DEP119 (5% Vig EV): -0.9615% Banker, -1.3335% Player, -14.2064% Tie, 0.9329 SD at 25% (5C).
  • DEP119 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 6 Rank-3 stub count (5D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 2 Three-Pip (Trey) cards leave a 2D shoe by 25% depth (DEP119), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-3 stub counts (6/8 in 78 cards); Banker carries a -0.9615% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android