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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · RANK-2 · 40% DEPTH

2-Deck Two-Pip (Deuce) Depletion at 40% Penetration (4% Audit DEP111)

Removing 4 of 8 Two-Pip (Deuce) (Rank-2) cards at 40% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 4 Rank-2 cards inside a 62-card stub (DEP111), producing 45.9009% Banker wins, 44.5664% Player wins, 9.5326% Ties, and a 0.5016% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5016%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3345%
Rank-2 in 62-Card Stub
4/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9341
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P B B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = = = = =
Small Road = = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = = =
Cockroach Pig = = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ =

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBBPPBBPPBPTBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP111 (2D Rank-2 at 40% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP111)
62 / 104 Cards

40% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Rank-2 Remaining
4 of 8 Cards

4 2-pip cards across all four suits removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.5016%

Resolved at 45.9009% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3345%

Resolved at 44.5664% Player win rate with 0.9341 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5326%

Produces a 14.2062% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP111.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP111

How Two-Pip (Deuce) Depletion at 40% Depth Impacts 2D (4% Vig)

Shoe-stub analysis DEP111 inspects 62 remaining cards at 40% penetration of a 104-card (2D) pack after 4 Two-Pip (Deuce) cards have cleared, leaving 4 Rank-2 cards and a 0.5016% 4% Banker edge.

Tracking DEP111 across 62 remaining 2D cards (40% depth) shows that depleting 2s shifts the (dep111-rank-2) probability of banker converting a (62c) two-card 4 or 5 into (dep111-rank-2·62c) a winning three-card 6 or 7. With 4 Rank-2 cards gone (+0.52 bps unit sensitivity), Banker expectation is -0.5016% (4% Vig) vs -1.3345% on Player.

State DEP111 (2D, 40% depth, 4/8 Rank-2 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP111 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP111 Banker (4% Vig)45.9009% (-0.5016% EV)45.8998%DEP111 2D 40% (4 Rank-2)
DEP111 Player (1:1)44.5664% (-1.3345% EV)44.5676%DEP111 62-card 2D stub (0.9341 SD)
DEP111 Tie (8:1)9.5326% (-14.2062% EV)9.5326%DEP111 Rank-2 (4 out, 4 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP111

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP111 · 2D)

Cut-card protocol at 40% depth in DEP111 (2D, 62 stub cards containing 4 Rank-2 cards) ensures the shoe reshuffles long before 4% house hold (0.5016% Banker / 1.3345% Player) is overturned.

  • DEP111 (2D 40%): 62/104 cards with 4/8 Rank-2 (7A).
  • DEP111 (Rank-2 split): 45.9009% Banker, 44.5664% Player, 9.5326% Tie in 62 2D cards (7B).
  • DEP111 (4% Vig EV): -0.5016% Banker, -1.3345% Player, -14.2062% Tie, 0.9341 SD at 40% (7C).
  • DEP111 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 4 Rank-2 stub count (7D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 4 Two-Pip (Deuce) cards leave a 2D shoe by 40% depth (DEP111), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-2 stub counts (4/8 in 62 cards); Banker carries a -0.5016% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android