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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · ACE-1 · 85% DEPTH

2-Deck Ace (1-Point Pip) Depletion at 85% Penetration (EZ Baccarat Audit DEP108)

Removing 7 of 8 Ace (1-Point Pip) (Ace-1) cards at 85% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 1 Ace-1 cards inside a 16-card stub (DEP108), producing 45.9019% Banker wins, 44.5654% Player wins, 9.5326% Ties, and a 0.9169% Banker house edge under EZ Baccarat.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.9169%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3365%
Ace-1 in 16-Card Stub
1/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9383
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P P P B B B B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = ≠ = ≠ = = = = = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPPPPBBBBPPBBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP108 (2D Ace-1 at 85% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP108)
16 / 104 Cards

85% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Ace-1 Remaining
1 of 8 Cards

7 Ace cards valued at 1 modulo-10 point removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.9169%

Resolved at 45.9019% Banker win rate under EZ Baccarat settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3365%

Resolved at 44.5654% Player win rate with 0.9383 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5326%

Produces a 14.2062% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP108.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP108

How Ace (1-Point Pip) Depletion at 85% Depth Impacts 2D (EZ Bar-7)

Depletion matrix entry DEP108 pairs 2D (104 cards) at 85% penetration with 7 removed Ace (1-Point Pip) cards (1 left in 16 cards), fixing per-hand volatility at 0.9383 and Banker house hold at 0.9169% (EZ Bar-7).

Under the fixed third-card tableau for DEP108, removing aces slightly favors (dep108) banker because banker stands on (2d-85%) 6 against player third-card ace (dep108·2d-85%) while player must draw on 0–5. With 1 Ace-1 cards inside 16 remaining 2D cards (85% dealt), single-card slope (+0.44 bps) keeps Banker house edge at 0.9169% and Player at 1.3365%.

State DEP108 (2D, 85% depth, 1/8 Ace-1 left, EZ Bar-7)
Wager / MetricState DEP108 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP108 Banker (EZ Bar-7)45.9019% (-0.9169% EV)45.8998%DEP108 2D 85% (1 Ace-1)
DEP108 Player (1:1)44.5654% (-1.3365% EV)44.5676%DEP108 16-card 2D stub (0.9383 SD)
DEP108 Tie (8:1)9.5326% (-14.2062% EV)9.5326%DEP108 Ace-1 (7 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP108

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP108 · 2D)

For DEP108 (16 remaining cards in a 104-card 2D shoe at 85% depth), tracking all 7 exited Ace-1 cards moves Banker win rate to 45.9019% (-0.9169% EV, EZ Bar-7) and Player to 44.5654% (-1.3365% EV).

  • DEP108 (2D 85%): 16/104 cards with 1/8 Ace-1 (6A).
  • DEP108 (Ace-1 split): 45.9019% Banker, 44.5654% Player, 9.5326% Tie in 16 2D cards (6B).
  • DEP108 (EZ Bar-7 EV): -0.9169% Banker, -1.3365% Player, -14.2062% Tie, 0.9383 SD at 85% (6C).
  • DEP108 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Ace-1 stub count (6D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 7 Ace (1-Point Pip) cards leave a 2D shoe by 85% depth (DEP108), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Ace-1 stub counts (1/8 in 16 cards); Banker carries a -0.9169% expectation under EZ Baccarat.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android