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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 2D · ACE-1 · 10% DEPTH

2-Deck Ace (1-Point Pip) Depletion at 10% Penetration (5% Audit DEP100)

Removing 1 of 8 Ace (1-Point Pip) (Ace-1) cards at 10% penetration of a 2-deck (104-card) shoe leaves 7 Ace-1 cards inside a 94-card stub (DEP100), producing 45.9000% Banker wins, 44.5674% Player wins, 9.5326% Ties, and a 0.9624% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.9624%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.3326%
Ace-1 in 94-Card Stub
7/8
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9308
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P B P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBPBPPBBPBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP100 (2D Ace-1 at 10% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP100)
94 / 104 Cards

10% penetration depth in 2D (double-deck European salon privé carriers and two-deck shoe pits).

Ace-1 Remaining
7 of 8 Cards

1 Ace cards valued at 1 modulo-10 point removed from the 2D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.9624%

Resolved at 45.9000% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.3326%

Resolved at 44.5674% Player win rate with 0.9308 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5326%

Produces a 14.2066% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP100.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP100

How Ace (1-Point Pip) Depletion at 10% Depth Impacts 2D (5% Vig)

In combinatorial record DEP100, depleting 1 Ace-1 cards across 10% of a 2D (104-card) pack leaves 7 Ace (1-Point Pip) cards among 94 remaining cards, setting Banker win probability to 45.9000% and house edge to 0.9624% (5% Vig).

Combinatorial weighting in DEP100 (94 cards left from 104 at 10% depth) is governed by two rules: removing aces slightly favors (dep100) banker because banker stands on (2d-10%) 6 against player third-card ace (dep100·2d-10%) while player must draw on 0–5, and winning banker tickets pay (dep100-2d) 0.95 units per unit staked (7/8) while 90% of the initial (dep100-2d·7/8) shoe remains undealt (+0.44 bps per Ace-1 removed).

State DEP100 (2D, 10% depth, 7/8 Ace-1 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP100 Value2D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP100 Banker (5% Vig)45.9000% (-0.9624% EV)45.8998%DEP100 2D 10% (7 Ace-1)
DEP100 Player (1:1)44.5674% (-1.3326% EV)44.5676%DEP100 94-card 2D stub (0.9308 SD)
DEP100 Tie (8:1)9.5326% (-14.2066% EV)9.5326%DEP100 Ace-1 (1 out, 7 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP100

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP100 · 2D)

In DEP100, the 94-card 2D stub (10% penetration, 1 of 8 Ace-1 dealt) yields 45.9000% Banker, 44.5674% Player, and 9.5326% Tie outcomes with 0.9308 dispersion under 5% Vig.

  • DEP100 (2D 10%): 94/104 cards with 7/8 Ace-1 (1A).
  • DEP100 (Ace-1 split): 45.9000% Banker, 44.5674% Player, 9.5326% Tie in 94 2D cards (1B).
  • DEP100 (5% Vig EV): -0.9624% Banker, -1.3326% Player, -14.2066% Tie, 0.9308 SD at 10% (1C).
  • DEP100 (2D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 7 Ace-1 stub count (1D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 1 Ace (1-Point Pip) cards leave a 2D shoe by 10% depth (DEP100), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Ace-1 stub counts (7/8 in 94 cards); Banker carries a -0.9624% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android