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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 1D · RANK-9 · 85% DEPTH

1-Deck Nine-Pip Card Depletion at 85% Penetration (EZ Baccarat Audit DEP090)

Removing 3 of 4 Nine-Pip Card (Rank-9) cards at 85% penetration of a 1-deck (52-card) shoe leaves 1 Rank-9 cards inside a 8-card stub (DEP090), producing 45.9586% Banker wins, 44.5259% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 0.8207% Banker house edge under EZ Baccarat.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.8207%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.4327%
Rank-9 in 8-Card Stub
1/4
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9407
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBTBPPBBPBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP090 (1D Rank-9 at 85% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP090)
8 / 52 Cards

85% penetration depth in 1D (single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits).

Rank-9 Remaining
1 of 4 Cards

3 9-pip cards (top Natural 9 generator) removed from the 1D pack.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.8207%

Resolved at 45.9586% Banker win rate under EZ Baccarat settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.4327%

Resolved at 44.5259% Player win rate with 0.9407 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3600% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP090.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP090

How Nine-Pip Card Depletion at 85% Depth Impacts 1D (EZ Bar-7)

Under EZ Baccarat settlement (EZ Bar-7), combinatorial state DEP090 models a 1D carrier with 8 cards left (85% dealt) and 1/4 Nine-Pip Card cards remaining, producing a 0.8207% Banker edge versus 1.4327% on Player.

When 3 Rank-9 cards exit a 1D shoe by 85% penetration (DEP090, 1 left in 8 cards), when 9s are depleted (dep090-rank-9) late in the shoe, more (8c) hands bypass four-card natural resolution (dep090-rank-9·8c) and enter the five- and six-card tableau, combining a -0.23 bps rank vector with EZ Baccarat settlement (-0.8207% Banker EV).

State DEP090 (1D, 85% depth, 1/4 Rank-9 left, EZ Bar-7)
Wager / MetricState DEP090 Value1D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP090 Banker (EZ Bar-7)45.9586% (-0.8207% EV)45.9595%DEP090 1D 85% (1 Rank-9)
DEP090 Player (1:1)44.5259% (-1.4327% EV)44.5249%DEP090 8-card 1D stub (0.9407 SD)
DEP090 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3600% EV)9.5156%DEP090 Rank-9 (3 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP090

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP090 · 1D)

Across 100-hand session horizons at state DEP090 (1D 85% depth, 1/4 Rank-9 in 8 cards), single-hand dispersion (0.9407 SD) dominates the 0.8207% (EZ Bar-7) Banker and 1.4327% Player expectation gap.

  • DEP090 (1D 85%): 8/52 cards with 1/4 Rank-9 (7A).
  • DEP090 (Rank-9 split): 45.9586% Banker, 44.5259% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 8 1D cards (7B).
  • DEP090 (EZ Bar-7 EV): -0.8207% Banker, -1.4327% Player, -14.3600% Tie, 0.9407 SD at 85% (7C).
  • DEP090 (1D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Rank-9 stub count (7D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 3 Nine-Pip Card cards leave a 1D shoe by 85% depth (DEP090), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-9 stub counts (1/4 in 8 cards); Banker carries a -0.8207% expectation under EZ Baccarat.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android