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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 1D · RANK-9 · 60% DEPTH

1-Deck Nine-Pip Card Depletion at 60% Penetration (EZ Baccarat Audit DEP086)

Removing 3 of 4 Nine-Pip Card (Rank-9) cards at 60% penetration of a 1-deck (52-card) shoe leaves 1 Rank-9 cards inside a 21-card stub (DEP086), producing 45.9587% Banker wins, 44.5258% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 0.8205% Banker house edge under EZ Baccarat.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.8205%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.4329%
Rank-9 in 21-Card Stub
1/4
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9382
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBBPPPBBPBTBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP086 (1D Rank-9 at 60% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 2 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP086)
21 / 52 Cards

60% penetration depth in 1D (single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits).

Rank-9 Remaining
1 of 4 Cards

3 9-pip cards (top Natural 9 generator) removed from the 1D pack.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.8205%

Resolved at 45.9587% Banker win rate under EZ Baccarat settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.4329%

Resolved at 44.5258% Player win rate with 0.9382 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3599% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP086.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP086

How Nine-Pip Card Depletion at 60% Depth Impacts 1D (EZ Bar-7)

In combinatorial record DEP086, depleting 3 Rank-9 cards across 60% of a 1D (52-card) pack leaves 1 Nine-Pip Card cards among 21 remaining cards, setting Banker win probability to 45.9587% and house edge to 0.8205% (EZ Bar-7).

Tracking DEP086 across 21 remaining 1D cards (60% depth) shows that when 9s are depleted (dep086-rank-9) late in the shoe, more (21c) hands bypass four-card natural resolution (dep086-rank-9·21c) and enter the five- and six-card tableau. With 3 Rank-9 cards gone (-0.23 bps unit sensitivity), Banker expectation is -0.8205% (EZ Bar-7) vs -1.4329% on Player.

State DEP086 (1D, 60% depth, 1/4 Rank-9 left, EZ Bar-7)
Wager / MetricState DEP086 Value1D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP086 Banker (EZ Bar-7)45.9587% (-0.8205% EV)45.9595%DEP086 1D 60% (1 Rank-9)
DEP086 Player (1:1)44.5258% (-1.4329% EV)44.5249%DEP086 21-card 1D stub (0.9382 SD)
DEP086 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3599% EV)9.5156%DEP086 Rank-9 (3 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP086

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP086 · 1D)

While DEP086 tracks 3 removed Nine-Pip Card cards across 60% of a 52-card (1D) shoe (21 remaining, 0.8205% EZ Bar-7 edge), Big Eye Boy (lookback 1), Small Road (lookback 2), and Cockroach Pig (lookback 3) evaluate only Big Road column shapes.

  • DEP086 (1D 60%): 21/52 cards with 1/4 Rank-9 (1A).
  • DEP086 (Rank-9 split): 45.9587% Banker, 44.5258% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 21 1D cards (1B).
  • DEP086 (EZ Bar-7 EV): -0.8205% Banker, -1.4329% Player, -14.3599% Tie, 0.9382 SD at 60% (1C).
  • DEP086 (1D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Rank-9 stub count (1D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 3 Nine-Pip Card cards leave a 1D shoe by 60% depth (DEP086), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-9 stub counts (1/4 in 21 cards); Banker carries a -0.8205% expectation under EZ Baccarat.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android