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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 1D · RANK-8 · 70% DEPTH

1-Deck Eight-Pip Card Depletion at 70% Penetration (5% Audit DEP078)

Removing 3 of 4 Eight-Pip Card (Rank-8) cards at 70% penetration of a 1-deck (52-card) shoe leaves 1 Rank-8 cards inside a 16-card stub (DEP078), producing 45.9576% Banker wins, 44.5269% Player wins, 9.5155% Ties, and a 0.8672% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.8672%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.4307%
Rank-8 in 16-Card Stub
1/4
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9389
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P P B B P B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBPPBBPBPPBBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP078 (1D Rank-8 at 70% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP078)
16 / 52 Cards

70% penetration depth in 1D (single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits).

Rank-8 Remaining
1 of 4 Cards

3 8-pip cards (Natural 8 generator and Banker 3 block) removed from the 1D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.8672%

Resolved at 45.9576% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.4307%

Resolved at 44.5269% Player win rate with 0.9389 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5155%

Produces a 14.3603% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP078.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP078

How Eight-Pip Card Depletion at 70% Depth Impacts 1D (5% Vig)

Within single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits, profile DEP078 examines 70% shoe depletion (16 of 52 cards remaining) after 3 Rank-8 cards exit, leaving 1 Eight-Pip Card cards and a 0.8672% Banker house hold under 5%.

Combinatorial weighting in DEP078 (16 cards left from 52 at 70% depth) is governed by two rules: on banker total 3, (dep078) banker draws against every player (1d-70%) third card except 8; removing (dep078·1d-70%) 8s eliminates banker 3's sole standing exception, and with 70% of cards (dep078-1d) dealt and 30% remaining ahead (1/4) of the cut card, winning (dep078-1d·1/4) banker bets pay 0.95 to 1 (-0.50 bps per Rank-8 removed).

State DEP078 (1D, 70% depth, 1/4 Rank-8 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP078 Value1D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP078 Banker (5% Vig)45.9576% (-0.8672% EV)45.9595%DEP078 1D 70% (1 Rank-8)
DEP078 Player (1:1)44.5269% (-1.4307% EV)44.5249%DEP078 16-card 1D stub (0.9389 SD)
DEP078 Tie (8:1)9.5155% (-14.3603% EV)9.5156%DEP078 Rank-8 (3 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP078

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP078 · 1D)

For DEP078 (16 remaining cards in a 52-card 1D shoe at 70% depth), tracking all 3 exited Rank-8 cards moves Banker win rate to 45.9576% (-0.8672% EV, 5% Vig) and Player to 44.5269% (-1.4307% EV).

  • DEP078 (1D 70%): 16/52 cards with 1/4 Rank-8 (3A).
  • DEP078 (Rank-8 split): 45.9576% Banker, 44.5269% Player, 9.5155% Tie in 16 1D cards (3B).
  • DEP078 (5% Vig EV): -0.8672% Banker, -1.4307% Player, -14.3603% Tie, 0.9389 SD at 70% (3C).
  • DEP078 (1D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Rank-8 stub count (3D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 3 Eight-Pip Card cards leave a 1D shoe by 70% depth (DEP078), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-8 stub counts (1/4 in 16 cards); Banker carries a -0.8672% expectation under 5%.
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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
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