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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 1D · RANK-8 · 60% DEPTH

1-Deck Eight-Pip Card Depletion at 60% Penetration (EZ Baccarat Audit DEP077)

Removing 3 of 4 Eight-Pip Card (Rank-8) cards at 60% penetration of a 1-deck (52-card) shoe leaves 1 Rank-8 cards inside a 21-card stub (DEP077), producing 45.9577% Banker wins, 44.5268% Player wins, 9.5155% Ties, and a 0.8225% Banker house edge under EZ Baccarat.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.8225%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.4309%
Rank-8 in 21-Card Stub
1/4
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9379
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B B P P B P B B P P B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPBBPPBPBBPPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP077 (1D Rank-8 at 60% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP077)
21 / 52 Cards

60% penetration depth in 1D (single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits).

Rank-8 Remaining
1 of 4 Cards

3 8-pip cards (Natural 8 generator and Banker 3 block) removed from the 1D pack.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.8225%

Resolved at 45.9577% Banker win rate under EZ Baccarat settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.4309%

Resolved at 44.5268% Player win rate with 0.9379 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5155%

Produces a 14.3602% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP077.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP077

How Eight-Pip Card Depletion at 60% Depth Impacts 1D (EZ Bar-7)

Card-removal benchmark DEP077 measures Eight-Pip Card (Rank-8) scarcity at 60% depth in a 1-deck shoe: 3 removed ranks leave 1 in the 21-card remainder, shifting Banker win share to 45.9577% (0.8225% edge, EZ Bar-7).

Mechanical draw trees in DEP077 reflect how depleting 8-pip cards also (dep077-rank-8) lowers two-card natural 8 lockouts (21c) when paired with zero-point tens (dep077-rank-8·21c) and court cards. At 60% 1D depth (1 Rank-8 left of 4 in 21 cards, -0.50 bps slope), banker wins pay 1:1 (dep077-1d) with zero commission except when (1/4) banker wins with a three-card (dep077-1d·1/4) total of 7, which pushes.

State DEP077 (1D, 60% depth, 1/4 Rank-8 left, EZ Bar-7)
Wager / MetricState DEP077 Value1D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP077 Banker (EZ Bar-7)45.9577% (-0.8225% EV)45.9595%DEP077 1D 60% (1 Rank-8)
DEP077 Player (1:1)44.5268% (-1.4309% EV)44.5249%DEP077 21-card 1D stub (0.9379 SD)
DEP077 Tie (8:1)9.5155% (-14.3602% EV)9.5156%DEP077 Rank-8 (3 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP077

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP077 · 1D)

In studio and floor audits of DEP077 (21 cards undealt out of 52 in 1D at 60% depth), a 0.9379 unit standard deviation accompanies the 1-card Rank-8 stub under EZ Bar-7 (45.9577% Banker vs 44.5268% Player).

  • DEP077 (1D 60%): 21/52 cards with 1/4 Rank-8 (5A).
  • DEP077 (Rank-8 split): 45.9577% Banker, 44.5268% Player, 9.5155% Tie in 21 1D cards (5B).
  • DEP077 (EZ Bar-7 EV): -0.8225% Banker, -1.4309% Player, -14.3602% Tie, 0.9379 SD at 60% (5C).
  • DEP077 (1D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Rank-8 stub count (5D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 3 Eight-Pip Card cards leave a 1D shoe by 60% depth (DEP077), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-8 stub counts (1/4 in 21 cards); Banker carries a -0.8225% expectation under EZ Baccarat.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android