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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 1D · RANK-7 · 70% DEPTH

1-Deck Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 70% Penetration (5% Audit DEP069)

Removing 3 of 4 Seven-Pip Card (Rank-7) cards at 70% penetration of a 1-deck (52-card) shoe leaves 1 Rank-7 cards inside a 16-card stub (DEP069), producing 45.9563% Banker wins, 44.5281% Player wins, 9.5155% Ties, and a 0.8696% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.8696%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.4282%
Rank-7 in 16-Card Stub
1/4
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9386
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P P B B B P P B B P B B P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Small Road = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPPBBBPPBPTBPBBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP069 (1D Rank-7 at 70% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 2 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP069)
16 / 52 Cards

70% penetration depth in 1D (single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits).

Rank-7 Remaining
1 of 4 Cards

3 7-pip cards (Player stand total and Dragon 7 boundary) removed from the 1D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.8696%

Resolved at 45.9563% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.4282%

Resolved at 44.5281% Player win rate with 0.9386 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5155%

Produces a 14.3603% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP069.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP069

How Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 70% Depth Impacts 1D (5% Vig)

Shoe-stub analysis DEP069 inspects 16 remaining cards at 70% penetration of a 52-card (1D) pack after 3 Seven-Pip Card cards have cleared, leaving 1 Rank-7 cards and a 0.8696% 5% Banker edge.

Tableau audit DEP069 confirms that player stands pat on (dep069) two-card 7, and a player (1d-70%) third-card 7 is the highest (dep069·1d-70%) card that forces banker 4, 5, and 6 to draw. Inside the 16-card 1D stub (70% depth, 1/4 Rank-7 remaining, -0.83 bps slope), standard deviation is 0.9386 under 5% Vig.

State DEP069 (1D, 70% depth, 1/4 Rank-7 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP069 Value1D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP069 Banker (5% Vig)45.9563% (-0.8696% EV)45.9595%DEP069 1D 70% (1 Rank-7)
DEP069 Player (1:1)44.5281% (-1.4282% EV)44.5249%DEP069 16-card 1D stub (0.9386 SD)
DEP069 Tie (8:1)9.5155% (-14.3603% EV)9.5156%DEP069 Rank-7 (3 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP069

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP069 · 1D)

In DEP069, the 16-card 1D stub (70% penetration, 3 of 4 Rank-7 dealt) yields 45.9563% Banker, 44.5281% Player, and 9.5155% Tie outcomes with 0.9386 dispersion under 5% Vig.

  • DEP069 (1D 70%): 16/52 cards with 1/4 Rank-7 (7A).
  • DEP069 (Rank-7 split): 45.9563% Banker, 44.5281% Player, 9.5155% Tie in 16 1D cards (7B).
  • DEP069 (5% Vig EV): -0.8696% Banker, -1.4282% Player, -14.3603% Tie, 0.9386 SD at 70% (7C).
  • DEP069 (1D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Rank-7 stub count (7D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 3 Seven-Pip Card cards leave a 1D shoe by 70% depth (DEP069), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-7 stub counts (1/4 in 16 cards); Banker carries a -0.8696% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android