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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 1D · RANK-7 · 40% DEPTH

1-Deck Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 40% Penetration (4% Audit DEP066)

Removing 2 of 4 Seven-Pip Card (Rank-7) cards at 40% penetration of a 1-deck (52-card) shoe leaves 2 Rank-7 cards inside a 31-card stub (DEP066), producing 45.9577% Banker wins, 44.5267% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 0.4073% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.4073%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.4310%
Rank-7 in 31-Card Stub
2/4
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9356
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B B P P B B P B P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = =
Small Road = = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPPBBPPBBPBPBBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP066 (1D Rank-7 at 40% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP066)
31 / 52 Cards

40% penetration depth in 1D (single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits).

Rank-7 Remaining
2 of 4 Cards

2 7-pip cards (Player stand total and Dragon 7 boundary) removed from the 1D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.4073%

Resolved at 45.9577% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.4310%

Resolved at 44.5267% Player win rate with 0.9356 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3600% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP066.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP066

How Seven-Pip Card Depletion at 40% Depth Impacts 1D (4% Vig)

Depletion matrix entry DEP066 pairs 1D (52 cards) at 40% penetration with 2 removed Seven-Pip Card cards (2 left in 31 cards), fixing per-hand volatility at 0.9356 and Banker house hold at 0.4073% (4% Vig).

Mechanical draw trees in DEP066 reflect how depleting 7s lowers the (dep066-rank-7) rate of winning three-card banker (31c) 7 hands (the barred push (dep066-rank-7·31c) total on ez baccarat tables). At 40% 1D depth (2 Rank-7 left of 4 in 31 cards, -0.83 bps slope), winning banker wagers collect (dep066-1d) 0.96 units per unit staked (2/4) with 60% of the shoe (dep066-1d·2/4) still inside the acrylic carrier.

State DEP066 (1D, 40% depth, 2/4 Rank-7 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP066 Value1D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP066 Banker (4% Vig)45.9577% (-0.4073% EV)45.9595%DEP066 1D 40% (2 Rank-7)
DEP066 Player (1:1)44.5267% (-1.4310% EV)44.5249%DEP066 31-card 1D stub (0.9356 SD)
DEP066 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3600% EV)9.5156%DEP066 Rank-7 (2 out, 2 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP066

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP066 · 1D)

Cut-card protocol at 40% depth in DEP066 (1D, 31 stub cards containing 2 Rank-7 cards) ensures the shoe reshuffles long before 4% house hold (0.4073% Banker / 1.4310% Player) is overturned.

  • DEP066 (1D 40%): 31/52 cards with 2/4 Rank-7 (6A).
  • DEP066 (Rank-7 split): 45.9577% Banker, 44.5267% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 31 1D cards (6B).
  • DEP066 (4% Vig EV): -0.4073% Banker, -1.4310% Player, -14.3600% Tie, 0.9356 SD at 40% (6C).
  • DEP066 (1D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 2 Rank-7 stub count (6D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 2 Seven-Pip Card cards leave a 1D shoe by 40% depth (DEP066), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-7 stub counts (2/4 in 31 cards); Banker carries a -0.4073% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android