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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 1D · RANK-6 · 40% DEPTH

1-Deck Six-Pip Card Depletion at 40% Penetration (4% Audit DEP057)

Removing 2 of 4 Six-Pip Card (Rank-6) cards at 40% penetration of a 1-deck (52-card) shoe leaves 2 Rank-6 cards inside a 31-card stub (DEP057), producing 45.9571% Banker wins, 44.5274% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 0.4085% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.4085%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.4297%
Rank-6 in 31-Card Stub
2/4
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9353
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P B B P B P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPTBPPBBPBPBBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP057 (1D Rank-6 at 40% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP057)
31 / 52 Cards

40% penetration depth in 1D (single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits).

Rank-6 Remaining
2 of 4 Cards

2 6-pip cards (standing threshold and Banker 6 trigger) removed from the 1D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.4085%

Resolved at 45.9571% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.4297%

Resolved at 44.5274% Player win rate with 0.9353 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3600% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP057.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP057

How Six-Pip Card Depletion at 40% Depth Impacts 1D (4% Vig)

Audit DEP057 evaluates a 1-deck (52-card) shoe at 40% penetration where 2 of 4 Six-Pip Card cards have exited, leaving 2 Rank-6 cards inside the 31-card stub with Banker EV at -0.4085% under 4%.

Comparing initial 52-card 1D weights against stub DEP057 (31 cards, 40% depth, 2 Rank-6 left) illustrates how banker 6 only draws (dep057) when player pulls a third-card (1d-40%) 6 or 7; depleting 6s (dep057·1d-40%) directly alters both banker 6 draws and super 6 settlement frequency (-1.13 bps slope, 0.4085% 4% Vig edge).

State DEP057 (1D, 40% depth, 2/4 Rank-6 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP057 Value1D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP057 Banker (4% Vig)45.9571% (-0.4085% EV)45.9595%DEP057 1D 40% (2 Rank-6)
DEP057 Player (1:1)44.5274% (-1.4297% EV)44.5249%DEP057 31-card 1D stub (0.9353 SD)
DEP057 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3600% EV)9.5156%DEP057 Rank-6 (2 out, 2 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP057

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP057 · 1D)

Statistical verification of DEP057 (1D, 40% penetration, 2 Six-Pip Card cards in 31 stub cards) demonstrates why single-rank depletion (2 Rank-6 dealt) shifts edges by basis points around -0.4085% (4% Vig).

  • DEP057 (1D 40%): 31/52 cards with 2/4 Rank-6 (3A).
  • DEP057 (Rank-6 split): 45.9571% Banker, 44.5274% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 31 1D cards (3B).
  • DEP057 (4% Vig EV): -0.4085% Banker, -1.4297% Player, -14.3600% Tie, 0.9353 SD at 40% (3C).
  • DEP057 (1D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 2 Rank-6 stub count (3D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 2 Six-Pip Card cards leave a 1D shoe by 40% depth (DEP057), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-6 stub counts (2/4 in 31 cards); Banker carries a -0.4085% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android