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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 1D · RANK-6 · 25% DEPTH

1-Deck Six-Pip Card Depletion at 25% Penetration (5% Audit DEP056)

Removing 1 of 4 Six-Pip Card (Rank-6) cards at 25% penetration of a 1-deck (52-card) shoe leaves 3 Rank-6 cards inside a 39-card stub (DEP056), producing 45.9584% Banker wins, 44.5260% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 0.8655% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.8655%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.4324%
Rank-6 in 39-Card Stub
3/4
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9338
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B P B P B B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPPBPBPBBPPBBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP056 (1D Rank-6 at 25% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP056)
39 / 52 Cards

25% penetration depth in 1D (single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits).

Rank-6 Remaining
3 of 4 Cards

1 6-pip cards (standing threshold and Banker 6 trigger) removed from the 1D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.8655%

Resolved at 45.9584% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.4324%

Resolved at 44.5260% Player win rate with 0.9338 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3598% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP056.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP056

How Six-Pip Card Depletion at 25% Depth Impacts 1D (5% Vig)

Quantitative proof DEP056 documents 1D rank depletion at 25% depth: 1 exited Rank-6 cards leave 3 of 4 in the 39-card stub, generating 45.9584% Banker wins (-0.8655% EV under 5% Vig) and 44.5260% Player wins.

Combinatorial weighting in DEP056 (39 cards left from 52 at 25% depth) is governed by two rules: banker 6 only draws (dep056) when player pulls a third-card (1d-25%) 6 or 7; depleting 6s (dep056·1d-25%) directly alters both banker 6 draws and super 6 settlement frequency, and one-quarter of the shoe (dep056-1d) has exited the carrier and (3/4) winning banker wagers pay 0.95 (dep056-1d·3/4) to 1 after 5% house tax (-1.13 bps per Rank-6 removed).

State DEP056 (1D, 25% depth, 3/4 Rank-6 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP056 Value1D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP056 Banker (5% Vig)45.9584% (-0.8655% EV)45.9595%DEP056 1D 25% (3 Rank-6)
DEP056 Player (1:1)44.5260% (-1.4324% EV)44.5249%DEP056 39-card 1D stub (0.9338 SD)
DEP056 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3598% EV)9.5156%DEP056 Rank-6 (1 out, 3 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP056

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP056 · 1D)

Statistical verification of DEP056 (1D, 25% penetration, 3 Six-Pip Card cards in 39 stub cards) demonstrates why single-rank depletion (1 Rank-6 dealt) shifts edges by basis points around -0.8655% (5% Vig).

  • DEP056 (1D 25%): 39/52 cards with 3/4 Rank-6 (5A).
  • DEP056 (Rank-6 split): 45.9584% Banker, 44.5260% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 39 1D cards (5B).
  • DEP056 (5% Vig EV): -0.8655% Banker, -1.4324% Player, -14.3598% Tie, 0.9338 SD at 25% (5C).
  • DEP056 (1D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 3 Rank-6 stub count (5D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 1 Six-Pip Card cards leave a 1D shoe by 25% depth (DEP056), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-6 stub counts (3/4 in 39 cards); Banker carries a -0.8655% expectation under 5%.
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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
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