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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 1D · RANK-5 · 85% DEPTH

1-Deck Five-Pip Card Depletion at 85% Penetration (EZ Baccarat Audit DEP054)

Removing 3 of 4 Five-Pip Card (Rank-5) cards at 85% penetration of a 1-deck (52-card) shoe leaves 1 Rank-5 cards inside a 8-card stub (DEP054), producing 45.9561% Banker wins, 44.5284% Player wins, 9.5155% Ties, and a 0.8258% Banker house edge under EZ Baccarat.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.8258%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.4276%
Rank-5 in 8-Card Stub
1/4
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9395
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBBPPPBBPBTBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP054 (1D Rank-5 at 85% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 2 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP054)
8 / 52 Cards

85% penetration depth in 1D (single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits).

Rank-5 Remaining
1 of 4 Cards

3 5-pip cards (final mandatory Player draw threshold) removed from the 1D pack.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.8258%

Resolved at 45.9561% Banker win rate under EZ Baccarat settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.4276%

Resolved at 44.5284% Player win rate with 0.9395 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5155%

Produces a 14.3603% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP054.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP054

How Five-Pip Card Depletion at 85% Depth Impacts 1D (EZ Bar-7)

Exact conditional enumeration DEP054 for a 1D shoe at 85% depth (8/52 cards undealt) with 1 remaining Rank-5 cards confirms a 0.8258% Banker edge (EZ Bar-7), 1.4276% Player edge, and 14.3603% Tie edge.

For DEP054 (1-deck shoe, 85% dealt), because player draws on (dep054) two-card 5 and stands on (1d-85%) 6, while banker 3, 4, (dep054·1d-85%) and 5 all draw against a player third-card 5, rank 5 favors player when depleted. Holding 1 of 4 Rank-5 cards in a 8-card stub with -0.84 bps rank slope yields 45.9561% Banker, 44.5284% Player, and 9.5155% Tie.

State DEP054 (1D, 85% depth, 1/4 Rank-5 left, EZ Bar-7)
Wager / MetricState DEP054 Value1D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP054 Banker (EZ Bar-7)45.9561% (-0.8258% EV)45.9595%DEP054 1D 85% (1 Rank-5)
DEP054 Player (1:1)44.5284% (-1.4276% EV)44.5249%DEP054 8-card 1D stub (0.9395 SD)
DEP054 Tie (8:1)9.5155% (-14.3603% EV)9.5156%DEP054 Rank-5 (3 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP054

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP054 · 1D)

In DEP054, the 8-card 1D stub (85% penetration, 3 of 4 Rank-5 dealt) yields 45.9561% Banker, 44.5284% Player, and 9.5155% Tie outcomes with 0.9395 dispersion under EZ Bar-7.

  • DEP054 (1D 85%): 8/52 cards with 1/4 Rank-5 (2A).
  • DEP054 (Rank-5 split): 45.9561% Banker, 44.5284% Player, 9.5155% Tie in 8 1D cards (2B).
  • DEP054 (EZ Bar-7 EV): -0.8258% Banker, -1.4276% Player, -14.3603% Tie, 0.9395 SD at 85% (2C).
  • DEP054 (1D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Rank-5 stub count (2D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 3 Five-Pip Card cards leave a 1D shoe by 85% depth (DEP054), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-5 stub counts (1/4 in 8 cards); Banker carries a -0.8258% expectation under EZ Baccarat.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android