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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 1D · RANK-5 · 75% DEPTH

1-Deck Five-Pip Card Depletion at 75% Penetration (4% Audit DEP052)

Removing 3 of 4 Five-Pip Card (Rank-5) cards at 75% penetration of a 1-deck (52-card) shoe leaves 1 Rank-5 cards inside a 13-card stub (DEP052), producing 45.9562% Banker wins, 44.5283% Player wins, 9.5155% Ties, and a 0.4103% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.4103%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.4280%
Rank-5 in 13-Card Stub
1/4
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9385
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P B P P B B P B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBPBPPBBPBPBPP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP052 (1D Rank-5 at 75% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP052)
13 / 52 Cards

75% penetration depth in 1D (single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits).

Rank-5 Remaining
1 of 4 Cards

3 5-pip cards (final mandatory Player draw threshold) removed from the 1D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.4103%

Resolved at 45.9562% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.4280%

Resolved at 44.5283% Player win rate with 0.9385 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5155%

Produces a 14.3603% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP052.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP052

How Five-Pip Card Depletion at 75% Depth Impacts 1D (4% Vig)

Depletion matrix entry DEP052 pairs 1D (52 cards) at 75% penetration with 3 removed Five-Pip Card cards (1 left in 13 cards), fixing per-hand volatility at 0.9385 and Banker house hold at 0.4103% (4% Vig).

Why does Rank-5 carry a -0.84 bps per-card effect in DEP052? Because Player draws on (DEP052) two-card 5 and stands on (1D-75%) 6, while Banker 3, 4, (DEP052·1D-75%) and 5 all draw against a Player third-card 5, rank 5 favors Player when depleted, and at 75% penetration (1 Five-Pip Card cards left in 13 1D cards), three-quarters of the shoe (dep052-1d) has been dealt and winning (1/4) banker wagers return 0.96 units (dep052-1d·1/4) net per unit risked.

State DEP052 (1D, 75% depth, 1/4 Rank-5 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP052 Value1D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP052 Banker (4% Vig)45.9562% (-0.4103% EV)45.9595%DEP052 1D 75% (1 Rank-5)
DEP052 Player (1:1)44.5283% (-1.4280% EV)44.5249%DEP052 13-card 1D stub (0.9385 SD)
DEP052 Tie (8:1)9.5155% (-14.3603% EV)9.5156%DEP052 Rank-5 (3 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP052

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP052 · 1D)

Scoreboard literacy in DEP052 separates two independent concepts: 1D card-removal math (1 Rank-5 left in 13 cards at 75% depth, 0.9385 volatility) and derived-road comparison rules (Rule 1 column-depth checks and Rule 2 two-cell lookbacks).

  • DEP052 (1D 75%): 13/52 cards with 1/4 Rank-5 (6A).
  • DEP052 (Rank-5 split): 45.9562% Banker, 44.5283% Player, 9.5155% Tie in 13 1D cards (6B).
  • DEP052 (4% Vig EV): -0.4103% Banker, -1.4280% Player, -14.3603% Tie, 0.9385 SD at 75% (6C).
  • DEP052 (1D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Rank-5 stub count (6D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 3 Five-Pip Card cards leave a 1D shoe by 75% depth (DEP052), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-5 stub counts (1/4 in 13 cards); Banker carries a -0.4103% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android