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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 1D · RANK-5 · 70% DEPTH

1-Deck Five-Pip Card Depletion at 70% Penetration (5% Audit DEP051)

Removing 3 of 4 Five-Pip Card (Rank-5) cards at 70% penetration of a 1-deck (52-card) shoe leaves 1 Rank-5 cards inside a 16-card stub (DEP051), producing 45.9563% Banker wins, 44.5282% Player wins, 9.5155% Ties, and a 0.8697% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.8697%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.4281%
Rank-5 in 16-Card Stub
1/4
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9380
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P B B P P B P B P B B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPBPBBPPBPBPBB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP051 (1D Rank-5 at 70% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP051)
16 / 52 Cards

70% penetration depth in 1D (single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits).

Rank-5 Remaining
1 of 4 Cards

3 5-pip cards (final mandatory Player draw threshold) removed from the 1D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.8697%

Resolved at 45.9563% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.4281%

Resolved at 44.5282% Player win rate with 0.9380 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5155%

Produces a 14.3603% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP051.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP051

How Five-Pip Card Depletion at 70% Depth Impacts 1D (5% Vig)

Across 14,658,134,400 initial 1D permutations, depletion node DEP051 narrows to a 16-card stub (70% depth) holding 1 of 4 Rank-5 cards, where Banker resolves at 45.9563% (-0.8697% EV) and Player at 44.5282% (-1.4281% EV).

In 1D audit DEP051 (16/52 stub at 70% depth), fewer 5s in the (dep051-rank-5) stub reduce banker third-card improvements (16c) from 3 to 8 and (dep051-rank-5·16c) from 4 to 9. Removing 3 Rank-5 cards (-0.84 bps per card) alongside 5% Vig rules sets Tie hold to 14.3603% (9.5155% frequency).

State DEP051 (1D, 70% depth, 1/4 Rank-5 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP051 Value1D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP051 Banker (5% Vig)45.9563% (-0.8697% EV)45.9595%DEP051 1D 70% (1 Rank-5)
DEP051 Player (1:1)44.5282% (-1.4281% EV)44.5249%DEP051 16-card 1D stub (0.9380 SD)
DEP051 Tie (8:1)9.5155% (-14.3603% EV)9.5156%DEP051 Rank-5 (3 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP051

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP051 · 1D)

Cut-card protocol at 70% depth in DEP051 (1D, 16 stub cards containing 1 Rank-5 cards) ensures the shoe reshuffles long before 5% house hold (0.8697% Banker / 1.4281% Player) is overturned.

  • DEP051 (1D 70%): 16/52 cards with 1/4 Rank-5 (1A).
  • DEP051 (Rank-5 split): 45.9563% Banker, 44.5282% Player, 9.5155% Tie in 16 1D cards (1B).
  • DEP051 (5% Vig EV): -0.8697% Banker, -1.4281% Player, -14.3603% Tie, 0.9380 SD at 70% (1C).
  • DEP051 (1D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Rank-5 stub count (1D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 3 Five-Pip Card cards leave a 1D shoe by 70% depth (DEP051), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-5 stub counts (1/4 in 16 cards); Banker carries a -0.8697% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android