Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Combinatorial Math Hub
  3. 1D Rank-5 Depletion at 10% Depth (5% Vig)
COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 1D · RANK-5 · 10% DEPTH

1-Deck Five-Pip Card Depletion at 10% Penetration (5% Audit DEP046)

Removing 1 of 4 Five-Pip Card (Rank-5) cards at 10% penetration of a 1-deck (52-card) shoe leaves 3 Rank-5 cards inside a 47-card stub (DEP046), producing 45.9588% Banker wins, 44.5256% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 0.8648% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.8648%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.4331%
Rank-5 in 47-Card Stub
3/4
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9320
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P P B B P B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBPPBBPBPPBBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP046 (1D Rank-5 at 10% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP046)
47 / 52 Cards

10% penetration depth in 1D (single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits).

Rank-5 Remaining
3 of 4 Cards

1 5-pip cards (final mandatory Player draw threshold) removed from the 1D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.8648%

Resolved at 45.9588% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.4331%

Resolved at 44.5256% Player win rate with 0.9320 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3598% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP046.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP046

How Five-Pip Card Depletion at 10% Depth Impacts 1D (5% Vig)

Finite-shoe specification DEP046 tracks Rank-5 removal at 10% depth in 1-deck play: with 3 of 4 Five-Pip Card cards left in the 47-card stub, Tie incidence is 9.5156% and Banker expectation settles at -0.8648% (5% Vig).

Comparing initial 52-card 1D weights against stub DEP046 (47 cards, 10% depth, 3 Rank-5 left) illustrates how because player draws on (dep046) two-card 5 and stands on (1d-10%) 6, while banker 3, 4, (dep046·1d-10%) and 5 all draw against a player third-card 5, rank 5 favors player when depleted (-0.84 bps slope, 0.8648% 5% Vig edge).

State DEP046 (1D, 10% depth, 3/4 Rank-5 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP046 Value1D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP046 Banker (5% Vig)45.9588% (-0.8648% EV)45.9595%DEP046 1D 10% (3 Rank-5)
DEP046 Player (1:1)44.5256% (-1.4331% EV)44.5249%DEP046 47-card 1D stub (0.9320 SD)
DEP046 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3598% EV)9.5156%DEP046 Rank-5 (1 out, 3 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP046

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP046 · 1D)

On the electronic scoreboard for DEP046 (1D, 10% depth, 47 cards left), Bead Plate and Big Road circles record Banker (45.9588%) and Player (44.5256%) outcomes, whereas Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig marks reflect column symmetry rather than Rank-5 card counts (3/4).

  • DEP046 (1D 10%): 47/52 cards with 3/4 Rank-5 (4A).
  • DEP046 (Rank-5 split): 45.9588% Banker, 44.5256% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 47 1D cards (4B).
  • DEP046 (5% Vig EV): -0.8648% Banker, -1.4331% Player, -14.3598% Tie, 0.9320 SD at 10% (4C).
  • DEP046 (1D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 3 Rank-5 stub count (4D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 1 Five-Pip Card cards leave a 1D shoe by 10% depth (DEP046), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-5 stub counts (3/4 in 47 cards); Banker carries a -0.8648% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android