Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Combinatorial Math Hub
  3. 1D Rank-4 Depletion at 75% Depth (4% Vig)
COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 1D · RANK-4 · 75% DEPTH

1-Deck Four-Pip Card Depletion at 75% Penetration (4% Audit DEP043)

Removing 3 of 4 Four-Pip Card (Rank-4) cards at 75% penetration of a 1-deck (52-card) shoe leaves 1 Rank-4 cards inside a 13-card stub (DEP043), producing 45.9641% Banker wins, 44.5202% Player wins, 9.5157% Ties, and a 0.3946% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.3946%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.4440%
Rank-4 in 13-Card Stub
1/4
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9382
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B B B P P P P B B P P B P
Big Eye Boy = = = ≠ = ≠ = = = = = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBBBBPPPPBBPPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP043 (1D Rank-4 at 75% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP043)
13 / 52 Cards

75% penetration depth in 1D (single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits).

Rank-4 Remaining
1 of 4 Cards

3 4-pip cards (strongest pro-Banker removal sensitivity) removed from the 1D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.3946%

Resolved at 45.9641% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.4440%

Resolved at 44.5202% Player win rate with 0.9382 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5157%

Produces a 14.3589% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP043.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP043

How Four-Pip Card Depletion at 75% Depth Impacts 1D (4% Vig)

Audit DEP043 evaluates a 1-deck (52-card) shoe at 75% penetration where 3 of 4 Four-Pip Card cards have exited, leaving 1 Rank-4 cards inside the 13-card stub with Banker EV at -0.3946% under 4%.

When 3 Rank-4 cards exit a 1D shoe by 75% penetration (DEP043, 1 left in 13 cards), removing 4s produces the (dep043-rank-4) single largest per-card shift toward (13c) banker (and away from player) (dep043-rank-4·13c) of any rank in the shoe, combining a +1.19 bps rank vector with 4% settlement (-0.3946% Banker EV).

State DEP043 (1D, 75% depth, 1/4 Rank-4 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP043 Value1D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP043 Banker (4% Vig)45.9641% (-0.3946% EV)45.9595%DEP043 1D 75% (1 Rank-4)
DEP043 Player (1:1)44.5202% (-1.4440% EV)44.5249%DEP043 13-card 1D stub (0.9382 SD)
DEP043 Tie (8:1)9.5157% (-14.3589% EV)9.5156%DEP043 Rank-4 (3 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP043

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP043 · 1D)

Synthesizing DEP043 (1D at 75% depth, 1 Four-Pip Card cards left inside 13 stub cards): 4% rules produce a 0.3946% Banker edge, 1.4440% Player edge, 14.3589% Tie edge, and 0.9382 unit volatility.

  • DEP043 (1D 75%): 13/52 cards with 1/4 Rank-4 (3A).
  • DEP043 (Rank-4 split): 45.9641% Banker, 44.5202% Player, 9.5157% Tie in 13 1D cards (3B).
  • DEP043 (4% Vig EV): -0.3946% Banker, -1.4440% Player, -14.3589% Tie, 0.9382 SD at 75% (3C).
  • DEP043 (1D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Rank-4 stub count (3D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 3 Four-Pip Card cards leave a 1D shoe by 75% depth (DEP043), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-4 stub counts (1/4 in 13 cards); Banker carries a -0.3946% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android