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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 1D · RANK-4 · 60% DEPTH

1-Deck Four-Pip Card Depletion at 60% Penetration (EZ Baccarat Audit DEP041)

Removing 3 of 4 Four-Pip Card (Rank-4) cards at 60% penetration of a 1-deck (52-card) shoe leaves 1 Rank-4 cards inside a 21-card stub (DEP041), producing 45.9638% Banker wins, 44.5205% Player wins, 9.5157% Ties, and a 0.8102% Banker house edge under EZ Baccarat.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.8102%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.4432%
Rank-4 in 21-Card Stub
1/4
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9367
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P B B P B P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPTBPPBBPBPBBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP041 (1D Rank-4 at 60% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP041)
21 / 52 Cards

60% penetration depth in 1D (single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits).

Rank-4 Remaining
1 of 4 Cards

3 4-pip cards (strongest pro-Banker removal sensitivity) removed from the 1D pack.

Banker EV (EZ Bar-7)
-0.8102%

Resolved at 45.9638% Banker win rate under EZ Baccarat settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.4432%

Resolved at 44.5205% Player win rate with 0.9367 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5157%

Produces a 14.3590% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP041.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP041

How Four-Pip Card Depletion at 60% Depth Impacts 1D (EZ Bar-7)

Shoe-stub analysis DEP041 inspects 21 remaining cards at 60% penetration of a 52-card (1D) pack after 3 Four-Pip Card cards have cleared, leaving 1 Rank-4 cards and a 0.8102% EZ Baccarat Banker edge.

Why does Rank-4 carry a +1.19 bps per-card effect in DEP041? Rank 4 sits at (DEP041) the exact pivot where Banker (1D-60%) 5 begins drawing (Player third (DEP041·1D-60%) card 4–7) while Banker 3 and 4 also draw, and at 60% penetration (1 Four-Pip Card cards left in 21 1D cards), banker wins pay 1:1 (dep041-1d) with zero commission except when (1/4) banker wins with a three-card (dep041-1d·1/4) total of 7, which pushes.

State DEP041 (1D, 60% depth, 1/4 Rank-4 left, EZ Bar-7)
Wager / MetricState DEP041 Value1D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP041 Banker (EZ Bar-7)45.9638% (-0.8102% EV)45.9595%DEP041 1D 60% (1 Rank-4)
DEP041 Player (1:1)44.5205% (-1.4432% EV)44.5249%DEP041 21-card 1D stub (0.9367 SD)
DEP041 Tie (8:1)9.5157% (-14.3590% EV)9.5156%DEP041 Rank-4 (3 out, 1 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP041

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP041 · 1D)

Statistical verification of DEP041 (1D, 60% penetration, 1 Four-Pip Card cards in 21 stub cards) demonstrates why single-rank depletion (3 Rank-4 dealt) shifts edges by basis points around -0.8102% (EZ Bar-7).

  • DEP041 (1D 60%): 21/52 cards with 1/4 Rank-4 (7A).
  • DEP041 (Rank-4 split): 45.9638% Banker, 44.5205% Player, 9.5157% Tie in 21 1D cards (7B).
  • DEP041 (EZ Bar-7 EV): -0.8102% Banker, -1.4432% Player, -14.3590% Tie, 0.9367 SD at 60% (7C).
  • DEP041 (1D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 1 Rank-4 stub count (7D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 3 Four-Pip Card cards leave a 1D shoe by 60% depth (DEP041), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-4 stub counts (1/4 in 21 cards); Banker carries a -0.8102% expectation under EZ Baccarat.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android