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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 1D · RANK-4 · 10% DEPTH

1-Deck Four-Pip Card Depletion at 10% Penetration (5% Audit DEP037)

Removing 1 of 4 Four-Pip Card (Rank-4) cards at 10% penetration of a 1-deck (52-card) shoe leaves 3 Rank-4 cards inside a 47-card stub (DEP037), producing 45.9605% Banker wins, 44.5239% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 0.8613% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.8613%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.4367%
Rank-4 in 47-Card Stub
3/4
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9317
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P P B B B P P B B P B B P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Small Road = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPPBBBPPBPTBPBBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP037 (1D Rank-4 at 10% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 2 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP037)
47 / 52 Cards

10% penetration depth in 1D (single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits).

Rank-4 Remaining
3 of 4 Cards

1 4-pip cards (strongest pro-Banker removal sensitivity) removed from the 1D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.8613%

Resolved at 45.9605% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.4367%

Resolved at 44.5239% Player win rate with 0.9317 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3594% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP037.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP037

How Four-Pip Card Depletion at 10% Depth Impacts 1D (5% Vig)

Across 14,658,134,400 initial 1D permutations, depletion node DEP037 narrows to a 47-card stub (10% depth) holding 3 of 4 Rank-4 cards, where Banker resolves at 45.9605% (-0.8613% EV) and Player at 44.5239% (-1.4367% EV).

Rank 4 sits at (DEP037) the exact pivot where Banker (1D-10%) 5 begins drawing (Player third (DEP037·1D-10%) card 4–7) while Banker 3 and 4 also draw. In state DEP037 (1D, 10% depth), each removed Rank-4 card applies a +1.19 bps baseline directional pressure before scaling to the 47-card remainder (3 Rank-4 left), while Winning Banker tickets pay (DEP037-1D) 0.95 units per unit staked (3/4) while 90% of the initial (DEP037-1D·3/4) shoe remains undealt.

State DEP037 (1D, 10% depth, 3/4 Rank-4 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP037 Value1D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP037 Banker (5% Vig)45.9605% (-0.8613% EV)45.9595%DEP037 1D 10% (3 Rank-4)
DEP037 Player (1:1)44.5239% (-1.4367% EV)44.5249%DEP037 47-card 1D stub (0.9317 SD)
DEP037 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3594% EV)9.5156%DEP037 Rank-4 (1 out, 3 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP037

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP037 · 1D)

Scoreboard literacy in DEP037 separates two independent concepts: 1D card-removal math (3 Rank-4 left in 47 cards at 10% depth, 0.9317 volatility) and derived-road comparison rules (Rule 1 column-depth checks and Rule 2 two-cell lookbacks).

  • DEP037 (1D 10%): 47/52 cards with 3/4 Rank-4 (1A).
  • DEP037 (Rank-4 split): 45.9605% Banker, 44.5239% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 47 1D cards (1B).
  • DEP037 (5% Vig EV): -0.8613% Banker, -1.4367% Player, -14.3594% Tie, 0.9317 SD at 10% (1C).
  • DEP037 (1D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 3 Rank-4 stub count (1D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 1 Four-Pip Card cards leave a 1D shoe by 10% depth (DEP037), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-4 stub counts (3/4 in 47 cards); Banker carries a -0.8613% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android