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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 1D · RANK-3 · 40% DEPTH

1-Deck Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 40% Penetration (4% Audit DEP030)

Removing 2 of 4 Three-Pip (Trey) (Rank-3) cards at 40% penetration of a 1-deck (52-card) shoe leaves 2 Rank-3 cards inside a 31-card stub (DEP030), producing 45.9609% Banker wins, 44.5235% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 0.4010% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.4010%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.4374%
Rank-3 in 31-Card Stub
2/4
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9344
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P P B B P B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPBPPBBPBPPBBPB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP030 (1D Rank-3 at 40% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP030)
31 / 52 Cards

40% penetration depth in 1D (single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits).

Rank-3 Remaining
2 of 4 Cards

2 3-pip cards across all four suits removed from the 1D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.4010%

Resolved at 45.9609% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.4374%

Resolved at 44.5235% Player win rate with 0.9344 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3592% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP030.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP030

How Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 40% Depth Impacts 1D (4% Vig)

In combinatorial record DEP030, depleting 2 Rank-3 cards across 40% of a 1D (52-card) pack leaves 2 Three-Pip (Trey) cards among 31 remaining cards, setting Banker win probability to 45.9609% and house edge to 0.4010% (4% Vig).

Mechanical draw trees in DEP030 reflect how each removed 3-pip card (dep030-rank-3) modifies the boundary between banker (31c) standing on 5 and drawing (dep030-rank-3·31c) against mid-range player pulls. At 40% 1D depth (2 Rank-3 left of 4 in 31 cards, +0.65 bps slope), winning banker wagers collect (dep030-1d) 0.96 units per unit staked (2/4) with 60% of the shoe (dep030-1d·2/4) still inside the acrylic carrier.

State DEP030 (1D, 40% depth, 2/4 Rank-3 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP030 Value1D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP030 Banker (4% Vig)45.9609% (-0.4010% EV)45.9595%DEP030 1D 40% (2 Rank-3)
DEP030 Player (1:1)44.5235% (-1.4374% EV)44.5249%DEP030 31-card 1D stub (0.9344 SD)
DEP030 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3592% EV)9.5156%DEP030 Rank-3 (2 out, 2 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP030

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP030 · 1D)

Across 100-hand session horizons at state DEP030 (1D 40% depth, 2/4 Rank-3 in 31 cards), single-hand dispersion (0.9344 SD) dominates the 0.4010% (4% Vig) Banker and 1.4374% Player expectation gap.

  • DEP030 (1D 40%): 31/52 cards with 2/4 Rank-3 (1A).
  • DEP030 (Rank-3 split): 45.9609% Banker, 44.5235% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 31 1D cards (1B).
  • DEP030 (4% Vig EV): -0.4010% Banker, -1.4374% Player, -14.3592% Tie, 0.9344 SD at 40% (1C).
  • DEP030 (1D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 2 Rank-3 stub count (1D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 2 Three-Pip (Trey) cards leave a 1D shoe by 40% depth (DEP030), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-3 stub counts (2/4 in 31 cards); Banker carries a -0.4010% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android