Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Combinatorial Math Hub
  3. 1D Rank-3 Depletion at 25% Depth (5% Vig)
COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 1D · RANK-3 · 25% DEPTH

1-Deck Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 25% Penetration (5% Audit DEP029)

Removing 1 of 4 Three-Pip (Trey) (Rank-3) cards at 25% penetration of a 1-deck (52-card) shoe leaves 3 Rank-3 cards inside a 39-card stub (DEP029), producing 45.9601% Banker wins, 44.5243% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 0.8621% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.8621%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.4359%
Rank-3 in 39-Card Stub
3/4
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9329
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B B P P B P B B P P B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPBBPPBPBBPPBP) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP029 (1D Rank-3 at 25% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP029)
39 / 52 Cards

25% penetration depth in 1D (single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits).

Rank-3 Remaining
3 of 4 Cards

1 3-pip cards across all four suits removed from the 1D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.8621%

Resolved at 45.9601% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.4359%

Resolved at 44.5243% Player win rate with 0.9329 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3594% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP029.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP029

How Three-Pip (Trey) Depletion at 25% Depth Impacts 1D (5% Vig)

Audit DEP029 evaluates a 1-deck (52-card) shoe at 25% penetration where 1 of 4 Three-Pip (Trey) cards have exited, leaving 3 Rank-3 cards inside the 39-card stub with Banker EV at -0.8621% under 5%.

For DEP029 (1-deck shoe, 25% dealt), banker total 4 draws (dep029) on player third-card 3, and (1d-25%) banker total 5 stands on (dep029·1d-25%) player third-card 3, creating asymmetric sensitivity. Holding 3 of 4 Rank-3 cards in a 39-card stub with +0.65 bps rank slope yields 45.9601% Banker, 44.5243% Player, and 9.5156% Tie.

State DEP029 (1D, 25% depth, 3/4 Rank-3 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP029 Value1D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP029 Banker (5% Vig)45.9601% (-0.8621% EV)45.9595%DEP029 1D 25% (3 Rank-3)
DEP029 Player (1:1)44.5243% (-1.4359% EV)44.5249%DEP029 39-card 1D stub (0.9329 SD)
DEP029 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3594% EV)9.5156%DEP029 Rank-3 (1 out, 3 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP029

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP029 · 1D)

Learners auditing DEP029 (1D at 25% depth, 3/4 Rank-3 in 39 stub cards) can verify that 5% house hold (0.8621% Banker, 1.4359% Player, 14.3594% Tie) operates independently of prior Big Road streaks.

  • DEP029 (1D 25%): 39/52 cards with 3/4 Rank-3 (3A).
  • DEP029 (Rank-3 split): 45.9601% Banker, 44.5243% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 39 1D cards (3B).
  • DEP029 (5% Vig EV): -0.8621% Banker, -1.4359% Player, -14.3594% Tie, 0.9329 SD at 25% (3C).
  • DEP029 (1D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 3 Rank-3 stub count (3D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 1 Three-Pip (Trey) cards leave a 1D shoe by 25% depth (DEP029), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-3 stub counts (3/4 in 39 cards); Banker carries a -0.8621% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android