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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 1D · RANK-2 · 10% DEPTH

1-Deck Two-Pip (Deuce) Depletion at 10% Penetration (5% Audit DEP019)

Removing 1 of 4 Two-Pip (Deuce) (Rank-2) cards at 10% penetration of a 1-deck (52-card) shoe leaves 3 Rank-2 cards inside a 47-card stub (DEP019), producing 45.9600% Banker wins, 44.5244% Player wins, 9.5156% Ties, and a 0.8625% Banker house edge under 5%.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.8625%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.4355%
Rank-2 in 47-Card Stub
3/4
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9311
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P B B P P B P B P B B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPBPBBPPBPBPBB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP019 (1D Rank-2 at 10% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP019)
47 / 52 Cards

10% penetration depth in 1D (single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits).

Rank-2 Remaining
3 of 4 Cards

1 2-pip cards across all four suits removed from the 1D pack.

Banker EV (5% Vig)
-0.8625%

Resolved at 45.9600% Banker win rate under 5% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.4355%

Resolved at 44.5244% Player win rate with 0.9311 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5156%

Produces a 14.3594% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP019.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP019

How Two-Pip (Deuce) Depletion at 10% Depth Impacts 1D (5% Vig)

At 10% penetration of a 52-card (1D) shoe, state DEP019 isolates 1 dealt Rank-2 cards (3 remaining inside 47 stub cards), yielding 45.9600% Banker wins, 44.5244% Player wins, and 0.9311 per-hand standard deviation under 5%.

Mechanical draw trees in DEP019 reflect how depleting 2s shifts the (dep019-rank-2) probability of banker converting a (47c) two-card 4 or 5 into (dep019-rank-2·47c) a winning three-card 6 or 7. At 10% 1D depth (3 Rank-2 left of 4 in 47 cards, +0.52 bps slope), winning banker tickets pay (dep019-1d) 0.95 units per unit staked (3/4) while 90% of the initial (dep019-1d·3/4) shoe remains undealt.

State DEP019 (1D, 10% depth, 3/4 Rank-2 left, 5% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP019 Value1D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP019 Banker (5% Vig)45.9600% (-0.8625% EV)45.9595%DEP019 1D 10% (3 Rank-2)
DEP019 Player (1:1)44.5244% (-1.4355% EV)44.5249%DEP019 47-card 1D stub (0.9311 SD)
DEP019 Tie (8:1)9.5156% (-14.3594% EV)9.5156%DEP019 Rank-2 (1 out, 3 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP019

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP019 · 1D)

Even at 10% penetration in DEP019 where 1 Rank-2 cards have exited a 1D shoe (3 left in 47 cards), derived-road red and blue entries measure structural regularity on the Big Road—not whether Banker (-0.8625% EV, 5% Vig) or Player (-1.4355% EV) is favored next.

  • DEP019 (1D 10%): 47/52 cards with 3/4 Rank-2 (2A).
  • DEP019 (Rank-2 split): 45.9600% Banker, 44.5244% Player, 9.5156% Tie in 47 1D cards (2B).
  • DEP019 (5% Vig EV): -0.8625% Banker, -1.4355% Player, -14.3594% Tie, 0.9311 SD at 10% (2C).
  • DEP019 (1D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 3 Rank-2 stub count (2D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 1 Two-Pip (Deuce) cards leave a 1D shoe by 10% depth (DEP019), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-2 stub counts (3/4 in 47 cards); Banker carries a -0.8625% expectation under 5%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android